Bundesliga Bundesliga January 24, 2026
FSV Mainz 05

FSV Mainz 05

31
FT
VfL Wolfsburg

VfL Wolfsburg

We predicted

FSV Mainz 05 4+ 22% confidence
View full match details Saturday, January 24 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted FSV Mainz 05 4+
|
Actual 3–1

We predicted the correct result direction (home), though fewer than 4 goals were scored.

AI Match Predictions

very_low confidence
Prediction Reliability 22%
Most Likely Scores
FSV Mainz 05 4+
10.7%
1-1
10.2%
9.82
2-1
9.3%
10.73
1-0
7.3%
13.68
Both Teams To Score
YES 63% · 1.59
NO 37% · 2.71
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
FSV Mainz 05 48% · 2.09
Draw 23% · 4.38
VfL Wolfsburg 29% · 3.4
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
62%
38%
Over 62% · 1.6 Under 38% · 2.66
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
83%
17%
Over 83% · 1.2 Under 17% · 5.93
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
40%
60%
Over 40% · 2.5 Under 60% · 1.67

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Key Stats Comparison

FSV Mainz 05
Stat
VfL Wolfsburg
1.83
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.39

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Bayern München Bayern München
28 23 4 1 +73 73
2
Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund
28 19 7 2 +32 64
3
RB Leipzig RB Leipzig
28 16 5 7 +19 53
4
VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart
28 16 5 7 +18 53
5
1899 Hoffenheim 1899 Hoffenheim
28 15 5 8 +14 50
6
Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen
28 14 7 7 +19 49
7
Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt
27 10 8 9 -1 38
8
SC Freiburg SC Freiburg
28 10 7 11 -6 37
9
FSV Mainz 05 FSV Mainz 05 H
28 8 9 11 -8 33
10
FC Augsburg FC Augsburg
28 9 5 14 -17 32
11
Hamburger SV Hamburger SV
28 7 10 11 -9 31
12
Union Berlin Union Berlin
27 8 7 12 -15 31
13
Borussia Mönchengladbach Borussia Mönchengladbach
28 7 9 12 -13 30
14
Werder Bremen Werder Bremen
28 7 7 14 -18 28
15
1. FC Köln 1. FC Köln
27 6 8 13 -9 26
16
FC St. Pauli FC St. Pauli
27 6 6 15 -20 24
17
VfL Wolfsburg VfL Wolfsburg A
28 5 6 17 -25 21
18
1. FC Heidenheim 1. FC Heidenheim
28 3 7 18 -34 16

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record