Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 March 21, 2026
Gernika

Gernika

23
FT
Náxara

Náxara

We predicted

1-1 34% confidence
View full match details Saturday, March 21 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-1
|
Actual 2–3

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 34%
Team Context
Gernika
Rank#10
Played27
Points38
PPG1.41
Goal Diff-5
L L L D L
Náxara
12#Rank
27Played
31Points
1.15PPG
-8Goal Diff
L D W W L
Most Likely Scores
1-1
12.3%
8.12
1-0
12.0%
8.34
2-1
9.2%
10.82
2-0
9.0%
11.11
Both Teams To Score
YES 50% · 2.0
NO 50% · 2.0
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Gernika 43% · 2.33
Draw 30% · 3.38
Náxara 28% · 3.63
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
46%
54%
Over 46% · 2.16 Under 54% · 1.86
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
72%
28%
Over 72% · 1.39 Under 28% · 3.55
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
25%
75%
Over 25% · 4.04 Under 75% · 1.33

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Gernika Gernika
L L L D L
Náxara Náxara
L D W W L

Key Stats Comparison

Gernika
Stat
Náxara
1.5
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.03
#10
League Pos.
#12
38 pts
Points
31 pts
1.41
Points / Game
1.15
-5
Goal Diff.
-8

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Real Unión Real Unión
29 18 8 3 +27 62
2
Deportivo Alavés II Deportivo Alavés II
29 14 10 5 +17 52
3
Utebo Utebo
30 15 6 9 +13 51
4
UD Logroñés UD Logroñés
30 15 6 9 +32 51
5
Tudelano Tudelano
30 14 8 8 +14 50
6
Sestao River Sestao River
29 11 11 7 +8 44
7
Eibar II Eibar II
30 13 5 12 -1 44
8
Ebro Ebro
30 9 16 5 +8 43
9
Amorebieta Amorebieta
29 11 9 9 +4 42
10
Gernika Gernika H
30 11 6 13 -7 39
11
Basconia Basconia
29 8 12 9 +1 36
12
Náxara Náxara A
29 9 8 12 -7 35
13
Beasain Beasain
29 7 10 12 -7 31
14
Ejea Ejea
30 7 10 13 -14 31
15
SD Logroñés SD Logroñés
29 6 13 10 -14 31
16
Mutilvera Mutilvera
30 8 6 16 -24 30
17
Real Zaragoza II Real Zaragoza II
30 6 7 17 -26 25
18
Alfaro Alfaro
30 5 7 18 -24 22

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record