Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 March 22, 2026
Gévora

Gévora

30
FT
Santa Amalia

Santa Amalia

We predicted

1-1 34% confidence
View full match details Sunday, March 22 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-1
|
Actual 3–0

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 34%
Team Context
Gévora
Rank#14
Played26
Points23
PPG0.88
Goal Diff-18
L L W L D
Santa Amalia
12#Rank
26Played
32Points
1.23PPG
-9Goal Diff
W L L L L
Most Likely Scores
1-1
12.5%
8.01
1-0
11.7%
8.58
2-1
9.1%
11.04
0-1
8.6%
11.63
Both Teams To Score
YES 50% · 1.99
NO 50% · 2.01
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Gévora 41% · 2.41
Draw 30% · 3.36
Santa Amalia 29% · 3.48
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
46%
54%
Over 46% · 2.17 Under 54% · 1.86
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
72%
28%
Over 72% · 1.39 Under 28% · 3.54
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
25%
75%
Over 25% · 4.05 Under 75% · 1.33

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Gévora Gévora
L L W L D
Santa Amalia Santa Amalia
W L L L L

Key Stats Comparison

Gévora
Stat
Santa Amalia
1.45
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.07
#14
League Pos.
#12
23 pts
Points
32 pts
0.88
Points / Game
1.23
-18
Goal Diff.
-9

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Don Benito Don Benito
29 18 7 4 +39 61
2
Moralo Moralo
29 16 9 5 +21 56
3
Badajoz Badajoz
29 18 5 6 +19 56
4
Jaraíz Jaraíz
29 14 10 5 +22 52
5
Azuaga Azuaga
29 15 7 7 +17 52
6
Cabeza Buey Cabeza Buey
29 12 12 5 +13 48
7
Villafranca Villafranca
29 13 6 10 +3 45
8
Villanovense Villanovense
29 11 8 10 +2 41
9
Jerez Jerez
29 7 17 5 +9 38
10
Montijo Montijo
29 10 7 12 +1 37
11
Llerenense Llerenense
29 10 6 13 -6 36
12
Santa Amalia Santa Amalia A
29 9 6 14 -16 33
13
Puebla Calzada Puebla Calzada
29 7 12 11 -11 32
14
Gévora Gévora H
29 6 8 15 -19 26
15
Diocesano Diocesano
29 5 10 14 -22 25
16
Atlético Pueblonuevo Atlético Pueblonuevo
29 6 5 18 -28 23
17
Montehermoso Montehermoso
29 5 8 17 -30 22
18
Calamonte Calamonte
29 3 12 14 -14 21

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record