Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 April 3, 2026
Gévora

Gévora

13
FT
Villafranca

Villafranca

We predicted

1-1 37% confidence
View full match details Friday, April 3 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-1
|
Actual 1–3

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 37%
Team Context
Gévora
Rank#14
Played28
Points26
PPG0.93
Goal Diff-17
L W L L W
Villafranca
7#Rank
28Played
42Points
1.5PPG
1Goal Diff
W W W L D
Most Likely Scores
1-1
12.7%
7.85
1-0
11.3%
8.83
0-1
9.3%
10.73
2-1
8.7%
11.49
Both Teams To Score
YES 50% · 1.99
NO 50% · 2.01
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Gévora 29% · 3.4
Draw 34% · 2.93
Villafranca 37% · 2.74
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
45%
55%
Over 45% · 2.2 Under 55% · 1.83
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
71%
29%
Over 71% · 1.41 Under 29% · 3.46
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
24%
76%
Over 24% · 4.16 Under 76% · 1.32

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Gévora Gévora
L W L L W
Villafranca Villafranca
W W W L D

Key Stats Comparison

Gévora
Stat
Villafranca
1.37
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.13
#14
League Pos.
#7
26 pts
Points
42 pts
0.93
Points / Game
1.5
-17
Goal Diff.
+1

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Don Benito Don Benito
29 18 7 4 +39 61
2
Moralo Moralo
29 16 9 5 +21 56
3
Badajoz Badajoz
29 18 5 6 +19 56
4
Jaraíz Jaraíz
29 14 10 5 +22 52
5
Azuaga Azuaga
29 15 7 7 +17 52
6
Cabeza Buey Cabeza Buey
29 12 12 5 +13 48
7
Villafranca Villafranca A
29 13 6 10 +3 45
8
Villanovense Villanovense
29 11 8 10 +2 41
9
Jerez Jerez
29 7 17 5 +9 38
10
Montijo Montijo
29 10 7 12 +1 37
11
Llerenense Llerenense
29 10 6 13 -6 36
12
Santa Amalia Santa Amalia
29 9 6 14 -16 33
13
Puebla Calzada Puebla Calzada
29 7 12 11 -11 32
14
Gévora Gévora H
29 6 8 15 -19 26
15
Diocesano Diocesano
29 5 10 14 -22 25
16
Atlético Pueblonuevo Atlético Pueblonuevo
29 6 5 18 -28 23
17
Montehermoso Montehermoso
29 5 8 17 -30 22
18
Calamonte Calamonte
29 3 12 14 -14 21

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record