FKF Premier League FKF Premier League March 21, 2026
GOR Mahia

GOR Mahia

21
FT
Shabana

Shabana

We predicted

1-0 37% confidence
View full match details Saturday, March 21 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-0
|
Actual 2–1

We predicted the correct result direction (home win), though the exact score differed.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 37%
Team Context
GOR Mahia
Rank#1
Played24
Points53
PPG2.21
Goal Diff25
W D W W W
Shabana
3#Rank
24Played
40Points
1.67PPG
4Goal Diff
L L W W W
Most Likely Scores
1-0
12.4%
8.08
1-1
12.3%
8.1
2-0
9.3%
10.8
2-1
9.2%
10.83
Both Teams To Score
YES 49% · 2.04
NO 51% · 1.96
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
GOR Mahia 49% · 2.03
Draw 36% · 2.81
Shabana 15% · 6.61
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
45%
55%
Over 45% · 2.2 Under 55% · 1.83
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
71%
29%
Over 71% · 1.41 Under 29% · 3.46
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
24%
76%
Over 24% · 4.17 Under 76% · 1.32

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

GOR Mahia GOR Mahia
W D W W W
Shabana Shabana
L L W W W

Key Stats Comparison

GOR Mahia
Stat
Shabana
1.5
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.0
#1
League Pos.
#3
53 pts
Points
40 pts
2.21
Points / Game
1.67
+25
Goal Diff.
+4

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
GOR Mahia GOR Mahia H
26 17 6 3 +26 57
2
AFC Leopards AFC Leopards
27 16 7 4 +18 55
3
Homeboyz Homeboyz
26 12 9 5 +14 45
4
Police Police
26 11 10 5 +6 43
5
Shabana Shabana A
27 12 7 8 +1 43
6
KCB KCB
27 11 7 9 +0 40
7
Nairobi United Nairobi United
26 10 8 8 +7 38
8
Murang'a SEAL Murang'a SEAL
27 10 8 9 +3 38
9
Bandari Bandari
27 8 14 5 +3 38
10
Tusker Tusker
26 11 4 11 -3 37
11
Mara Sugar Mara Sugar
26 6 13 7 -1 31
12
Posta Rangers FC Posta Rangers FC
26 7 10 9 -8 31
13
Mathare United Mathare United
26 8 6 12 -5 30
14
Kariobangi Sharks Kariobangi Sharks
27 5 11 11 -11 26
15
Ulinzi Stars Ulinzi Stars
27 6 7 14 -7 25
16
APS Bomet APS Bomet
27 5 10 12 -8 25
17
Bidco United Bidco United
27 4 10 13 -14 22
18
Sofapaka Sofapaka
27 3 7 17 -21 16

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record