Eredivisie Eredivisie March 7, 2026
Groningen

Groningen

31
FT
Ajax

Ajax

We predicted

1-1 27% confidence
View full match details Saturday, March 7 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-1
|
Actual 3–1

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

very_low confidence
Prediction Reliability 27%
Team Context
Groningen
Rank#11
Played25
Points31
PPG1.24
Goal Diff-2
L L L L L
Ajax
3#Rank
25Played
44Points
1.76PPG
16Goal Diff
D D W D D
Most Likely Scores
1-1
12.5%
8.03
1-0
10.1%
9.86
0-1
8.9%
11.2
2-1
8.7%
11.52
Both Teams To Score
YES 53% · 1.88
NO 47% · 2.13
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Groningen 28% · 3.51
Draw 34% · 2.97
Ajax 38% · 2.64
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
49%
51%
Over 49% · 2.06 Under 51% · 1.95
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
74%
26%
Over 74% · 1.36 Under 26% · 3.8
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
27%
73%
Over 27% · 3.73 Under 73% · 1.37

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Groningen Groningen
L L L L L
Ajax Ajax
D D W D D

Key Stats Comparison

Groningen
Stat
Ajax
1.39
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.23
#11
League Pos.
#3
31 pts
Points
44 pts
1.24
Points / Game
1.76
-2
Goal Diff.
+16

Head to Head

Full H2H record
1 W
1 D
3 W
Groningen
Draw
Ajax
19 total goals
5 meetings

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven
29 23 2 4 +42 71
2
Feyenoord Feyenoord
28 16 5 7 +21 53
3
NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen
29 15 8 6 +24 53
4
Twente Twente
29 13 11 5 +18 50
5
Ajax Ajax A
29 12 12 5 +17 48
6
AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar
29 13 6 10 +4 45
7
Heerenveen Heerenveen
28 11 8 9 +3 41
8
Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam
28 12 5 11 -12 41
9
Utrecht Utrecht
29 11 8 10 +10 41
10
Groningen Groningen H
29 12 5 12 +5 41
11
Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard
29 10 5 14 -11 35
12
PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle
28 8 9 11 -15 33
13
GO Ahead Eagles GO Ahead Eagles
28 7 11 10 +0 32
14
FC Volendam FC Volendam
28 7 6 15 -18 27
15
Telstar Telstar
29 6 9 14 -10 27
16
Excelsior Excelsior
29 7 6 16 -20 27
17
NAC Breda NAC Breda
28 5 8 15 -21 23
18
Heracles Heracles
28 5 4 19 -37 19

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record