Liga MX Liga MX March 19, 2026
Guadalajara Chivas

Guadalajara Chivas

50
FT
Leon

Leon

We predicted

Guadalajara Chivas 4+ 45% confidence
View full match details Thursday, March 19 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted Guadalajara Chivas 4+
|
Actual 5–0

Our model correctly predicted the outcome — Guadalajara Chivas 4+ goals was spot on.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 45%
Team Context
Guadalajara Chivas
Rank#3
Played9
Points21
PPG2.33
Goal Diff5
W L L W W
Leon
13#Rank
9Played
10Points
1.11PPG
-4Goal Diff
L W W L L
Most Likely Scores
Guadalajara Chivas 4+
18.8%
2-0
14.3%
7.0
1-0
12.6%
7.96
3-0
10.8%
9.24
Both Teams To Score
YES 42% · 2.38
NO 58% · 1.72
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Guadalajara Chivas 63% · 1.6
Draw 28% · 3.56
Leon 9% · 10.79
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
55%
45%
Over 55% · 1.81 Under 45% · 2.23
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
78%
22%
Over 78% · 1.28 Under 22% · 4.64
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
33%
67%
Over 33% · 3.07 Under 67% · 1.48

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Guadalajara Chivas Guadalajara Chivas
W L L W W
Leon Leon
L W W L L

Key Stats Comparison

Guadalajara Chivas
Stat
Leon
2.27
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.63
#3
League Pos.
#13
21 pts
Points
10 pts
2.33
Points / Game
1.11
+5
Goal Diff.
-4

Head to Head

Full H2H record
2 W
0 D
3 W
Guadalajara Chivas
Draw
Leon
14 total goals
5 meetings

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Guadalajara Chivas Guadalajara Chivas H
12 10 0 2 +14 30
2
Cruz Azul Cruz Azul
13 8 3 2 +10 27
3
Toluca Toluca
13 7 5 1 +11 26
4
Pachuca Pachuca
13 7 4 2 +6 25
5
U.N.A.M. - Pumas U.N.A.M. - Pumas
12 6 5 1 +9 23
6
Club America Club America
13 5 3 5 +2 18
7
Atlas Atlas
13 5 3 5 -4 18
8
Tigres UANL Tigres UANL
13 5 2 6 +3 17
9
Necaxa Necaxa
13 5 1 7 -1 16
10
Leon Leon A
13 5 1 7 -9 16
11
Club Tijuana Club Tijuana
13 3 6 4 -1 15
12
FC Juarez FC Juarez
12 4 3 5 -2 15
13
Monterrey Monterrey
13 4 2 7 +2 14
14
Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis
13 4 2 7 -2 14
15
Puebla Puebla
13 3 4 6 -5 13
16
Club Queretaro Club Queretaro
12 2 5 5 -7 11
17
Mazatlán Mazatlán
13 3 2 8 -10 11
18
Santos Laguna Santos Laguna
13 2 3 8 -16 9

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record