Primeira Liga
February 28, 2026
Guimaraes
1–1
FT
Alverca
We predicted
1-1
24% confidence
View full match details
Saturday, February 28 2026
Correct prediction!
Predicted
1-1
|
Actual
1–1
Our model correctly predicted the final scoreline.
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
24%
Team Context
Guimaraes
Rank#9
Played23
Points31
PPG1.35
Goal Diff-7
L
W
L
W
L
Alverca
10#Rank
23Played
26Points
1.13PPG
-15Goal Diff
D
D
L
D
L
Most Likely Scores
1-1
12.1%
8.24
1-0
11.3%
8.85
2-1
9.3%
10.71
2-0
8.7%
11.49
Both Teams To Score
YES
52% · 1.93
NO
48% · 2.07
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Guimaraes
48% · 2.08
Draw
26% · 3.92
Alverca
26% · 3.78
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
48%
52%
Over 48% · 2.06
Under 52% · 1.94
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
74%
26%
Over 74% · 1.36
Under 26% · 3.77
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
27%
73%
Over 27% · 3.76
Under 73% · 1.36
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Guimaraes
L
W
L
W
L
Alverca
D
D
L
D
L
Key Stats Comparison
Guimaraes
Stat
Alverca
1.54
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.07
#9
League Pos.
#10
31 pts
Points
26 pts
1.35
Points / Game
1.13
-7
Goal Diff.
-15
Head to Head
Full H2H record0 W
1 D
1 W
Guimaraes
Draw
Alverca
4
total goals
2
meetings
Last 2 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
FC Porto
|
28 | 23 | 4 | 1 | +43 | 73 |
| 2 |
Sporting CP
|
27 | 21 | 5 | 1 | +55 | 68 |
| 3 |
Benfica
|
27 | 19 | 8 | 0 | +41 | 65 |
| 4 |
SC Braga
|
27 | 14 | 7 | 6 | +27 | 49 |
| 5 |
Famalicao
|
28 | 13 | 7 | 8 | +11 | 46 |
| 6 |
GIL Vicente
|
28 | 12 | 9 | 7 | +14 | 45 |
| 7 |
Estoril
|
27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | +4 | 37 |
| 8 |
Guimaraes
H
|
28 | 10 | 5 | 13 | -8 | 35 |
| 9 |
Moreirense
|
28 | 10 | 5 | 13 | -9 | 35 |
| 10 |
Alverca
A
|
28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | -17 | 32 |
| 11 |
Rio Ave
|
28 | 7 | 9 | 12 | -19 | 30 |
| 12 |
Arouca
|
27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | -21 | 29 |
| 13 |
Santa Clara
|
28 | 7 | 7 | 14 | -9 | 28 |
| 14 |
Estrela
|
28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | -14 | 28 |
| 15 |
Nacional
|
28 | 6 | 7 | 15 | -8 | 25 |
| 16 |
Casa Pia
|
26 | 5 | 9 | 12 | -22 | 24 |
| 17 |
Tondela
|
27 | 4 | 8 | 15 | -25 | 20 |
| 18 |
AVS
|
28 | 1 | 8 | 19 | -43 | 11 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.