Primeira Liga Primeira Liga March 14, 2026
Guimaraes

Guimaraes

12
FT
Famalicao

Famalicao

We predicted

1-1 36% confidence
View full match details Saturday, March 14 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-1
|
Actual 1–2

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 36%
Team Context
Guimaraes
Rank#9
Played25
Points32
PPG1.28
Goal Diff-9
L D L W L
Famalicao
6#Rank
25Played
39Points
1.56PPG
9Goal Diff
W D W L W
Most Likely Scores
1-1
13.4%
7.44
1-0
12.9%
7.73
0-1
12.0%
8.34
0-0
11.5%
8.67
Both Teams To Score
YES 44% · 2.3
NO 56% · 1.77
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Guimaraes 36% · 2.75
Draw 32% · 3.16
Famalicao 32% · 3.13
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
37%
63%
Over 37% · 2.73 Under 63% · 1.58
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
64%
36%
Over 64% · 1.57 Under 36% · 2.74
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
17%
83%
Over 17% · 5.79 Under 83% · 1.21

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Guimaraes Guimaraes
L D L W L
Famalicao Famalicao
W D W L W

Key Stats Comparison

Guimaraes
Stat
Famalicao
1.12
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.04
#9
League Pos.
#6
32 pts
Points
39 pts
1.28
Points / Game
1.56
-9
Goal Diff.
+9

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
FC Porto FC Porto
28 23 4 1 +43 73
2
Sporting CP Sporting CP
27 21 5 1 +55 68
3
Benfica Benfica
27 19 8 0 +41 65
4
SC Braga SC Braga
27 14 7 6 +27 49
5
Famalicao Famalicao A
28 13 7 8 +11 46
6
GIL Vicente GIL Vicente
28 12 9 7 +14 45
7
Estoril Estoril
27 10 7 10 +4 37
8
Guimaraes Guimaraes H
28 10 5 13 -8 35
9
Moreirense Moreirense
28 10 5 13 -9 35
10
Alverca Alverca
28 8 8 12 -17 32
11
Rio Ave Rio Ave
28 7 9 12 -19 30
12
Arouca Arouca
27 8 5 14 -21 29
13
Santa Clara Santa Clara
28 7 7 14 -9 28
14
Estrela Estrela
28 6 10 12 -14 28
15
Nacional Nacional
28 6 7 15 -8 25
16
Casa Pia Casa Pia
26 5 9 12 -22 24
17
Tondela Tondela
27 4 8 15 -25 20
18
AVS AVS
28 1 8 19 -43 11

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record