Primeira Liga Primeira Liga January 30, 2026
Guimaraes

Guimaraes

10
FT
Moreirense

Moreirense

We predicted

1-1 26% confidence
View full match details Friday, January 30 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-1
|
Actual 1–0

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

very_low confidence
Prediction Reliability 26%
Most Likely Scores
1-1
12.0%
8.33
0-1
9.1%
11.04
1-2
8.7%
11.53
1-0
8.3%
12.02
Both Teams To Score
YES 56% · 1.78
NO 44% · 2.28
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Guimaraes 35% · 2.89
Draw 25% · 3.93
Moreirense 40% · 2.5
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
52%
48%
Over 52% · 1.91 Under 48% · 2.09
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
76%
24%
Over 76% · 1.31 Under 24% · 4.23
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
30%
70%
Over 30% · 3.33 Under 70% · 1.43

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Key Stats Comparison

Guimaraes
Stat
Moreirense
1.33
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.44

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
FC Porto FC Porto
28 23 4 1 +43 73
2
Sporting CP Sporting CP
27 21 5 1 +55 68
3
Benfica Benfica
27 19 8 0 +41 65
4
SC Braga SC Braga
27 14 7 6 +27 49
5
Famalicao Famalicao
28 13 7 8 +11 46
6
GIL Vicente GIL Vicente
28 12 9 7 +14 45
7
Estoril Estoril
27 10 7 10 +4 37
8
Guimaraes Guimaraes H
28 10 5 13 -8 35
9
Moreirense Moreirense A
28 10 5 13 -9 35
10
Alverca Alverca
28 8 8 12 -17 32
11
Rio Ave Rio Ave
28 7 9 12 -19 30
12
Arouca Arouca
27 8 5 14 -21 29
13
Santa Clara Santa Clara
28 7 7 14 -9 28
14
Estrela Estrela
28 6 10 12 -14 28
15
Nacional Nacional
28 6 7 15 -8 25
16
Casa Pia Casa Pia
26 5 9 12 -22 24
17
Tondela Tondela
27 4 8 15 -25 20
18
AVS AVS
28 1 8 19 -43 11

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record