Primeira Liga
April 26, 2026
Guimaraes
16:00
VS
Rio Ave
Predicted score
1-0
38% confidence
View full match details
Sunday, April 26 2026
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
38%
Team Context
Guimaraes
Rank#9
Played25
Points32
PPG1.28
Goal Diff-9
L
D
L
W
L
Rio Ave
14#Rank
25Played
24Points
0.96PPG
-20Goal Diff
W
D
L
L
L
Most Likely Scores
1-0
14.6%
6.87
2-0
12.3%
8.13
1-1
11.1%
8.99
2-1
9.4%
10.64
Both Teams To Score
YES
44% · 2.3
NO
56% · 1.77
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Guimaraes
54% · 1.86
Draw
32% · 3.09
Rio Ave
14% · 7.14
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
44%
56%
Over 44% · 2.25
Under 56% · 1.8
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
70%
30%
Over 70% · 1.42
Under 30% · 3.36
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
23%
77%
Over 23% · 4.32
Under 77% · 1.3
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Guimaraes
L
D
L
W
L
Rio Ave
W
D
L
L
L
Key Stats Comparison
Guimaraes
Stat
Rio Ave
1.69
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.76
#9
League Pos.
#14
32 pts
Points
24 pts
1.28
Points / Game
0.96
-9
Goal Diff.
-20
Head to Head
Full H2H record3 W
1 D
1 W
Guimaraes
Draw
Rio Ave
12
total goals
5
meetings
Last 3 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
FC Porto
|
28 | 23 | 4 | 1 | +43 | 73 |
| 2 |
Sporting CP
|
27 | 21 | 5 | 1 | +55 | 68 |
| 3 |
Benfica
|
27 | 19 | 8 | 0 | +41 | 65 |
| 4 |
SC Braga
|
27 | 14 | 7 | 6 | +27 | 49 |
| 5 |
Famalicao
|
28 | 13 | 7 | 8 | +11 | 46 |
| 6 |
GIL Vicente
|
28 | 12 | 9 | 7 | +14 | 45 |
| 7 |
Estoril
|
27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | +4 | 37 |
| 8 |
Guimaraes
H
|
28 | 10 | 5 | 13 | -8 | 35 |
| 9 |
Moreirense
|
28 | 10 | 5 | 13 | -9 | 35 |
| 10 |
Alverca
|
28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | -17 | 32 |
| 11 |
Rio Ave
A
|
28 | 7 | 9 | 12 | -19 | 30 |
| 12 |
Arouca
|
27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | -21 | 29 |
| 13 |
Santa Clara
|
28 | 7 | 7 | 14 | -9 | 28 |
| 14 |
Estrela
|
28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | -14 | 28 |
| 15 |
Nacional
|
28 | 6 | 7 | 15 | -8 | 25 |
| 16 |
Casa Pia
|
26 | 5 | 9 | 12 | -22 | 24 |
| 17 |
Tondela
|
27 | 4 | 8 | 15 | -25 | 20 |
| 18 |
AVS
|
28 | 1 | 8 | 19 | -43 | 11 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.