Primeira Liga Primeira Liga April 3, 2026
Guimaraes

Guimaraes

50
FT
Tondela

Tondela

We predicted

1-0 38% confidence
View full match details Friday, April 3 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-0
|
Actual 5–0

We predicted the correct result direction (home win), though the exact score differed.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 38%
Team Context
Guimaraes
Rank#9
Played25
Points32
PPG1.28
Goal Diff-9
L D L W L
Tondela
17#Rank
25Played
19Points
0.76PPG
-20Goal Diff
L D W D D
Most Likely Scores
1-0
14.3%
6.97
1-1
12.7%
7.86
0-0
10.5%
9.57
2-0
9.8%
10.16
Both Teams To Score
YES 44% · 2.28
NO 56% · 1.78
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Guimaraes 47% · 2.13
Draw 35% · 2.89
Tondela 19% · 5.39
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
39%
61%
Over 39% · 2.55 Under 61% · 1.65
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
66%
34%
Over 66% · 1.52 Under 34% · 2.94
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
19%
81%
Over 19% · 5.21 Under 81% · 1.24

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Guimaraes Guimaraes
L D L W L
Tondela Tondela
L D W D D

Key Stats Comparison

Guimaraes
Stat
Tondela
1.37
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.89
#9
League Pos.
#17
32 pts
Points
19 pts
1.28
Points / Game
0.76
-9
Goal Diff.
-20

Head to Head

Full H2H record
2 W
2 D
1 W
Guimaraes
Draw
Tondela
11 total goals
5 meetings

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
FC Porto FC Porto
28 23 4 1 +43 73
2
Sporting CP Sporting CP
27 21 5 1 +55 68
3
Benfica Benfica
27 19 8 0 +41 65
4
SC Braga SC Braga
27 14 7 6 +27 49
5
Famalicao Famalicao
28 13 7 8 +11 46
6
GIL Vicente GIL Vicente
28 12 9 7 +14 45
7
Estoril Estoril
27 10 7 10 +4 37
8
Guimaraes Guimaraes H
28 10 5 13 -8 35
9
Moreirense Moreirense
28 10 5 13 -9 35
10
Alverca Alverca
28 8 8 12 -17 32
11
Rio Ave Rio Ave
28 7 9 12 -19 30
12
Arouca Arouca
27 8 5 14 -21 29
13
Santa Clara Santa Clara
28 7 7 14 -9 28
14
Estrela Estrela
28 6 10 12 -14 28
15
Nacional Nacional
28 6 7 15 -8 25
16
Casa Pia Casa Pia
26 5 9 12 -22 24
17
Tondela Tondela A
27 4 8 15 -25 20
18
AVS AVS
28 1 8 19 -43 11

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record