Bundesliga Bundesliga March 14, 2026
Hamburger SV

Hamburger SV

11
FT
1. FC Köln

1. FC Köln

We predicted

1-1 35% confidence
View full match details Saturday, March 14 2026

Correct prediction!

Predicted 1-1
|
Actual 1–1

Our model correctly predicted the final scoreline.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 35%
Team Context
Hamburger SV
Rank#10
Played25
Points29
PPG1.16
Goal Diff-8
W L L D W
1. FC Köln
14#Rank
25Played
24Points
0.96PPG
-9Goal Diff
L L D L L
Most Likely Scores
1-1
12.6%
7.92
1-0
11.5%
8.7
0-1
9.0%
11.17
2-1
8.9%
11.24
Both Teams To Score
YES 50% · 1.99
NO 50% · 2.01
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Hamburger SV 44% · 2.25
Draw 34% · 2.95
1. FC Köln 22% · 4.63
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
46%
54%
Over 46% · 2.19 Under 54% · 1.84
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
71%
29%
Over 71% · 1.4 Under 29% · 3.5
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
24%
76%
Over 24% · 4.11 Under 76% · 1.32

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Hamburger SV Hamburger SV
W L L D W
1. FC Köln 1. FC Köln
L L D L L

Key Stats Comparison

Hamburger SV
Stat
1. FC Köln
1.41
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.1
#10
League Pos.
#14
29 pts
Points
24 pts
1.16
Points / Game
0.96
-8
Goal Diff.
-9

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Bayern München Bayern München
28 23 4 1 +73 73
2
Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund
28 19 7 2 +32 64
3
RB Leipzig RB Leipzig
28 16 5 7 +19 53
4
VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart
28 16 5 7 +18 53
5
1899 Hoffenheim 1899 Hoffenheim
28 15 5 8 +14 50
6
Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen
28 14 7 7 +19 49
7
Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt
28 10 9 9 -1 39
8
SC Freiburg SC Freiburg
28 10 7 11 -6 37
9
FSV Mainz 05 FSV Mainz 05
28 8 9 11 -8 33
10
Union Berlin Union Berlin
28 8 8 12 -15 32
11
FC Augsburg FC Augsburg
28 9 5 14 -17 32
12
Hamburger SV Hamburger SV H
28 7 10 11 -9 31
13
Borussia Mönchengladbach Borussia Mönchengladbach
28 7 9 12 -13 30
14
Werder Bremen Werder Bremen
28 7 7 14 -18 28
15
1. FC Köln 1. FC Köln A
28 6 9 13 -9 27
16
FC St. Pauli FC St. Pauli
28 6 7 15 -20 25
17
VfL Wolfsburg VfL Wolfsburg
28 5 6 17 -25 21
18
1. FC Heidenheim 1. FC Heidenheim
28 3 7 18 -34 16

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record