National League - North
April 6, 2026
Hereford
14:00
VS
Merthyr Town
Predicted score
Hereford 4+
35% confidence
View full match details
Monday, April 6 2026
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
35%
Team Context
Hereford
Rank#22
Played39
Points38
PPG0.97
Goal Diff-21
L
L
L
L
L
Merthyr Town
5#Rank
41Played
67Points
1.63PPG
14Goal Diff
D
L
L
L
W
Most Likely Scores
Hereford 4+
9.8%
Merthyr Town 4+
9.5%
1-1
9.0%
11.14
2-1
8.1%
12.39
Both Teams To Score
YES
69% · 1.44
NO
31% · 3.26
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Hereford
28% · 3.63
Draw
31% · 3.2
Merthyr Town
41% · 2.43
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
69%
31%
Over 69% · 1.44
Under 31% · 3.25
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
87%
Over 87% · 1.15
Under 13% · 7.79
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
48%
52%
Over 48% · 2.09
Under 52% · 1.91
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Hereford
L
L
L
L
L
Merthyr Town
D
L
L
L
W
Key Stats Comparison
Hereford
Stat
Merthyr Town
1.8
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.78
#22
League Pos.
#5
38 pts
Points
67 pts
0.97
Points / Game
1.63
-21
Goal Diff.
+14
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.