Denmark Series - Group 4
March 21, 2026
Holstebro
4–1
FT
Aalborg Freja
We predicted
Holstebro 4+
57% confidence
View full match details
Saturday, March 21 2026
Prediction vs. Reality
Predicted
Holstebro 4+
|
Actual
4–1
Our model correctly predicted the outcome — Holstebro 4+ goals was spot on.
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
57%
Team Context
Holstebro
Rank#1
Played16
Points38
PPG2.38
Goal Diff26
L
W
W
D
W
Aalborg Freja
10#Rank
16Played
9Points
0.56PPG
-25Goal Diff
D
L
L
W
L
Most Likely Scores
Holstebro 4+
29.9%
2-1
8.6%
11.63
3-1
8.3%
12.12
2-0
6.9%
14.41
Both Teams To Score
YES
67% · 1.49
NO
33% · 3.02
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Holstebro
62% · 1.61
Draw
29% · 3.4
Aalborg Freja
8% · 11.86
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
77%
23%
Over 77% · 1.29
Under 23% · 4.39
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
91%
Over 91% · 1.09
Under 9% · 11.67
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
58%
42%
Over 58% · 1.73
Under 42% · 2.37
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Holstebro
L
W
W
D
W
Aalborg Freja
D
L
L
W
L
Key Stats Comparison
Holstebro
Stat
Aalborg Freja
2.88
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.24
#1
League Pos.
#10
38 pts
Points
9 pts
2.38
Points / Game
0.56
+26
Goal Diff.
-25
Head to Head
Full H2H record5 W
0 D
0 W
Holstebro
Draw
Aalborg Freja
18
total goals
5
meetings
Last 3 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Holstebro
H
|
18 | 14 | 2 | 2 | +31 | 44 |
| 2 |
ASA Aarhus
|
18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | +28 | 40 |
| 3 |
Aarhus Fremad II
|
18 | 10 | 2 | 6 | +21 | 32 |
| 4 |
Vorup
|
18 | 10 | 2 | 6 | +13 | 32 |
| 5 |
Hobro II
|
18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | -8 | 23 |
| 6 |
Fuglebakken KFUM
|
18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | -16 | 21 |
| 7 |
Viby
|
18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | -13 | 19 |
| 8 |
Nørresundby
|
18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | -13 | 17 |
| 9 |
VRI
|
18 | 4 | 3 | 11 | -15 | 15 |
| 10 |
Aalborg Freja
A
|
18 | 2 | 4 | 12 | -28 | 10 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.