FKF Premier League FKF Premier League April 4, 2026
Homeboyz

Homeboyz

30
FT
Mathare United

Mathare United

We predicted

1-1 37% confidence
View full match details Saturday, April 4 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-1
|
Actual 3–0

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 37%
Team Context
Homeboyz
Rank#4
Played25
Points42
PPG1.68
Goal Diff11
W D L W D
Mathare United
13#Rank
25Played
30Points
1.2PPG
-2Goal Diff
D W L L D
Most Likely Scores
1-1
13.0%
7.69
1-0
13.0%
7.7
0-1
9.9%
10.1
0-0
9.9%
10.11
Both Teams To Score
YES 46% · 2.16
NO 54% · 1.86
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Homeboyz 44% · 2.26
Draw 35% · 2.88
Mathare United 21% · 4.75
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
41%
59%
Over 41% · 2.45 Under 59% · 1.69
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
67%
33%
Over 67% · 1.49 Under 33% · 3.05
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
20%
80%
Over 20% · 4.92 Under 80% · 1.25

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Homeboyz Homeboyz
W D L W D
Mathare United Mathare United
D W L L D

Key Stats Comparison

Homeboyz
Stat
Mathare United
1.31
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.0
#4
League Pos.
#13
42 pts
Points
30 pts
1.68
Points / Game
1.2
+11
Goal Diff.
-2

Head to Head

Full H2H record
1 W
0 D
0 W
Homeboyz
Draw
Mathare United
3 total goals
1 meetings

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
GOR Mahia GOR Mahia
26 17 6 3 +26 57
2
AFC Leopards AFC Leopards
26 15 7 4 +16 52
3
Homeboyz Homeboyz H
26 12 9 5 +14 45
4
Police Police
26 11 10 5 +6 43
5
Shabana Shabana
26 12 7 7 +4 43
6
Murang'a SEAL Murang'a SEAL
26 10 8 8 +5 38
7
Bandari Bandari
27 8 14 5 +3 38
8
KCB KCB
26 10 7 9 -1 37
9
Tusker Tusker
26 11 4 11 -3 37
10
Nairobi United Nairobi United
25 9 8 8 +4 35
11
Mara Sugar Mara Sugar
26 6 13 7 -1 31
12
Posta Rangers FC Posta Rangers FC
26 7 10 9 -8 31
13
Mathare United Mathare United A
26 8 6 12 -5 30
14
Kariobangi Sharks Kariobangi Sharks
27 5 11 11 -11 26
15
Ulinzi Stars Ulinzi Stars
27 6 7 14 -7 25
16
APS Bomet APS Bomet
27 5 10 12 -8 25
17
Bidco United Bidco United
26 4 10 12 -13 22
18
Sofapaka Sofapaka
27 3 7 17 -21 16

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record