Liga Premier Serie A Liga Premier Serie A March 15, 2026
Jaguares de Chiapas

Jaguares de Chiapas

13
FT
Tapachula

Tapachula

We predicted

Jaguares de Chiapas 4+ 34% confidence
View full match details Sunday, March 15 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted Jaguares de Chiapas 4+
|
Actual 1–3

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 34%
Team Context
Jaguares de Chiapas
Rank#6
Played20
Points32
PPG1.6
Goal Diff5
L W W W L
Tapachula
7#Rank
20Played
31Points
1.55PPG
8Goal Diff
W L W L W
Most Likely Scores
Jaguares de Chiapas 4+
10.8%
1-1
10.4%
9.66
2-1
9.5%
10.55
1-0
7.8%
12.87
Both Teams To Score
YES 62% · 1.62
NO 38% · 2.62
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Jaguares de Chiapas 47% · 2.11
Draw 32% · 3.15
Tapachula 21% · 4.81
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
61%
39%
Over 61% · 1.64 Under 39% · 2.57
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
82%
18%
Over 82% · 1.21 Under 18% · 5.66
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
39%
61%
Over 39% · 2.58 Under 61% · 1.63

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Jaguares de Chiapas Jaguares de Chiapas
L W W W L
Tapachula Tapachula
W L W L W

Key Stats Comparison

Jaguares de Chiapas
Stat
Tapachula
1.83
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.33
#6
League Pos.
#7
32 pts
Points
31 pts
1.6
Points / Game
1.55
+5
Goal Diff.
+8

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Real Apodaca Real Apodaca
25 21 2 2 +29 66
1
Durango Durango
25 20 2 3 +54 71
1
Racing de Veracruz Racing de Veracruz
23 20 3 0 +41 68
2
Tigres de Alica Tigres de Alica
25 16 3 6 +19 52
2
FC Santiago FC Santiago
25 13 7 5 +16 47
2
Deportiva Venados Deportiva Venados
23 14 4 5 +30 49
3
Cimarrones Cimarrones
25 14 7 4 +23 50
3
Celaya Celaya
23 12 3 8 +10 42
3
Zacatepec 1948 Zacatepec 1948
25 12 8 5 +15 45
4
Leones Negros Leones Negros
25 15 2 8 +15 50
4
Deportivo Zap Deportivo Zap
25 11 6 8 +18 44
4
Inter Playa del Carmen Inter Playa del Carmen
24 13 4 7 +7 42
5
Calor de San Pedro Calor de San Pedro
25 11 7 7 +8 41
5
Tapachula Tapachula A
23 12 0 11 +12 41
5
Tritons Vallarta Tritons Vallarta
25 15 1 9 +6 46
6
Gavilanes FC Matamoros Gavilanes FC Matamoros
25 11 5 9 +8 41
6
Montañeses Montañeses
23 12 2 9 +8 38
6
Tecos Tecos
25 13 4 8 +12 45
7
Lobos ULMX Lobos ULMX
25 11 6 8 +8 40
7
Mineros de Fresnillo Mineros de Fresnillo
25 11 4 10 +0 39
7
Pioneros de Cancún Pioneros de Cancún
23 10 2 11 +0 34
8
Los Cabos United Los Cabos United
25 11 3 11 -1 37
8
Correcaminos UAT II Correcaminos UAT II
25 8 7 10 +1 33
8
Jaguares de Chiapas Jaguares de Chiapas H
23 9 3 11 +1 33
9
Chilpancingo Chilpancingo
25 8 8 9 -9 32
9
Héroes de Zaci Héroes de Zaci
23 9 2 12 -14 30
9
Guerreros Guerreros
25 8 5 12 -1 32
10
Chapulineros Chapulineros
23 5 7 11 -12 22
10
Ensenada Ensenada
25 8 2 15 -22 28
10
Cordobés Cordobés
25 7 6 12 -4 26
11
Cañoneros Marina Cañoneros Marina
23 7 1 15 -19 22
11
Sporting Canamy Sporting Canamy
25 5 8 12 -14 26
11
UA Zacatecas UA Zacatecas
25 7 4 14 -20 26
12
Zitacuaro Zitacuaro
25 5 10 10 -10 25
12
Acatlan Acatlan
25 6 1 18 -30 21
12
Neza Neza
23 5 2 16 -42 19
13
Reboceros La Piedad Reboceros La Piedad
25 6 1 18 -30 20
13
Ciervos Ciervos
25 4 4 17 -29 18
13
Mexicali FC Mexicali FC
23 4 3 16 -22 17
14
Atletico Hidalgo Atletico Hidalgo
25 4 4 17 -37 16
14
Colima Colima
25 4 3 18 -25 17

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record