Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 March 22, 2026
Jaraíz

Jaraíz

30
FT
Diocesano

Diocesano

We predicted

Jaraíz 4+ 43% confidence
View full match details Sunday, March 22 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted Jaraíz 4+
|
Actual 3–0

We predicted the correct result direction (home), though fewer than 4 goals were scored.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 43%
Team Context
Jaraíz
Rank#5
Played26
Points45
PPG1.73
Goal Diff18
L W W D D
Diocesano
15#Rank
25Played
21Points
0.84PPG
-19Goal Diff
D L D L L
Most Likely Scores
Jaraíz 4+
17.3%
2-0
11.7%
8.55
1-0
10.7%
9.38
2-1
9.8%
10.21
Both Teams To Score
YES 50% · 1.99
NO 50% · 2.01
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Jaraíz 61% · 1.64
Draw 31% · 3.2
Diocesano 8% · 12.77
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
58%
42%
Over 58% · 1.72 Under 42% · 2.39
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
80%
20%
Over 80% · 1.24 Under 20% · 5.11
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
36%
64%
Over 36% · 2.81 Under 64% · 1.55

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Jaraíz Jaraíz
L W W D D
Diocesano Diocesano
D L D L L

Key Stats Comparison

Jaraíz
Stat
Diocesano
2.2
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.84
#5
League Pos.
#15
45 pts
Points
21 pts
1.73
Points / Game
0.84
+18
Goal Diff.
-19

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Don Benito Don Benito
29 18 7 4 +39 61
2
Moralo Moralo
29 16 9 5 +21 56
3
Badajoz Badajoz
29 18 5 6 +19 56
4
Jaraíz Jaraíz H
29 14 10 5 +22 52
5
Azuaga Azuaga
29 15 7 7 +17 52
6
Cabeza Buey Cabeza Buey
29 12 12 5 +13 48
7
Villafranca Villafranca
29 13 6 10 +3 45
8
Villanovense Villanovense
29 11 8 10 +2 41
9
Jerez Jerez
29 7 17 5 +9 38
10
Montijo Montijo
29 10 7 12 +1 37
11
Llerenense Llerenense
29 10 6 13 -6 36
12
Santa Amalia Santa Amalia
29 9 6 14 -16 33
13
Puebla Calzada Puebla Calzada
29 7 12 11 -11 32
14
Gévora Gévora
29 6 8 15 -19 26
15
Diocesano Diocesano A
29 5 10 14 -22 25
16
Atlético Pueblonuevo Atlético Pueblonuevo
29 6 5 18 -28 23
17
Montehermoso Montehermoso
29 5 8 17 -30 22
18
Calamonte Calamonte
29 3 12 14 -14 21

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record