Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 March 22, 2026
Jerez

Jerez

23
FT
Azuaga

Azuaga

We predicted

1-1 37% confidence
View full match details Sunday, March 22 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-1
|
Actual 2–3

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 37%
Team Context
Jerez
Rank#8
Played26
Points36
PPG1.38
Goal Diff10
L W L D D
Azuaga
4#Rank
26Played
46Points
1.77PPG
13Goal Diff
W W W D W
Most Likely Scores
1-1
11.6%
8.59
1-0
10.0%
9.96
2-1
9.5%
10.55
2-0
8.2%
12.21
Both Teams To Score
YES 55% · 1.81
NO 45% · 2.23
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Jerez 33% · 3.03
Draw 33% · 3.05
Azuaga 34% · 2.92
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
53%
47%
Over 53% · 1.9 Under 47% · 2.11
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
77%
23%
Over 77% · 1.3 Under 23% · 4.28
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
30%
70%
Over 30% · 3.29 Under 70% · 1.44

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Jerez Jerez
L W L D D
Azuaga Azuaga
W W W D W

Key Stats Comparison

Jerez
Stat
Azuaga
1.63
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.16
#8
League Pos.
#4
36 pts
Points
46 pts
1.38
Points / Game
1.77
+10
Goal Diff.
+13

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Don Benito Don Benito
29 18 7 4 +39 61
2
Moralo Moralo
29 16 9 5 +21 56
3
Badajoz Badajoz
29 18 5 6 +19 56
4
Jaraíz Jaraíz
29 14 10 5 +22 52
5
Azuaga Azuaga A
29 15 7 7 +17 52
6
Cabeza Buey Cabeza Buey
29 12 12 5 +13 48
7
Villafranca Villafranca
29 13 6 10 +3 45
8
Villanovense Villanovense
29 11 8 10 +2 41
9
Jerez Jerez H
29 7 17 5 +9 38
10
Montijo Montijo
29 10 7 12 +1 37
11
Llerenense Llerenense
29 10 6 13 -6 36
12
Santa Amalia Santa Amalia
29 9 6 14 -16 33
13
Puebla Calzada Puebla Calzada
29 7 12 11 -11 32
14
Gévora Gévora
29 6 8 15 -19 26
15
Diocesano Diocesano
29 5 10 14 -22 25
16
Atlético Pueblonuevo Atlético Pueblonuevo
29 6 5 18 -28 23
17
Montehermoso Montehermoso
29 5 8 17 -30 22
18
Calamonte Calamonte
29 3 12 14 -14 21

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record