Süper Lig
May 10, 2026
Kocaelispor
17:00
VS
Fatih Karagümrük
Predicted score
1-0
45% confidence
View full match details
Sunday, May 10 2026
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
45%
Team Context
Kocaelispor
Rank#7
Played25
Points33
PPG1.32
Goal Diff-3
W
L
L
W
W
Fatih Karagümrük
18#Rank
25Played
14Points
0.56PPG
-24Goal Diff
D
L
D
L
W
Most Likely Scores
1-0
20.8%
4.82
0-0
16.9%
5.9
2-0
12.7%
7.87
1-1
11.4%
8.75
Both Teams To Score
YES
30% · 3.34
NO
70% · 1.43
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Kocaelispor
50% · 2.01
Draw
36% · 2.76
Fatih Karagümrük
14% · 7.14
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
26%
74%
Over 26% · 3.81
Under 74% · 1.36
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
53%
47%
Over 53% · 1.89
Under 47% · 2.13
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
90%
Over 10% · 9.56
Under 90% · 1.12
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Kocaelispor
W
L
L
W
W
Fatih Karagümrük
D
L
D
L
W
Key Stats Comparison
Kocaelispor
Stat
Fatih Karagümrük
1.23
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.55
#7
League Pos.
#18
33 pts
Points
14 pts
1.32
Points / Game
0.56
-3
Goal Diff.
-24
Head to Head
Full H2H record1 W
3 D
1 W
Kocaelispor
Draw
Fatih Karagümrük
14
total goals
5
meetings
Last 3 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Galatasaray
|
27 | 20 | 4 | 3 | +43 | 64 |
| 2 |
Fenerbahçe
|
28 | 18 | 9 | 1 | +34 | 63 |
| 3 |
Trabzonspor
|
28 | 19 | 6 | 3 | +25 | 63 |
| 4 |
Beşiktaş
|
28 | 15 | 7 | 6 | +17 | 52 |
| 5 |
Göztepe
|
27 | 12 | 10 | 5 | +12 | 46 |
| 6 |
Başakşehir
|
28 | 12 | 8 | 8 | +14 | 44 |
| 7 |
Samsunspor
|
27 | 8 | 12 | 7 | -2 | 36 |
| 8 |
Kocaelispor
H
|
28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | -9 | 34 |
| 9 |
Gaziantep FK
|
28 | 8 | 10 | 10 | -10 | 34 |
| 10 |
Alanyaspor
|
28 | 6 | 14 | 8 | +1 | 32 |
| 11 |
Konyaspor
|
28 | 7 | 10 | 11 | -8 | 31 |
| 12 |
Rizespor
|
27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | -5 | 30 |
| 13 |
Antalyaspor
|
28 | 7 | 7 | 14 | -15 | 28 |
| 14 |
Kasımpaşa
|
28 | 6 | 9 | 13 | -13 | 27 |
| 15 |
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
|
28 | 6 | 7 | 15 | -11 | 25 |
| 16 |
Kayserispor
|
28 | 4 | 11 | 13 | -29 | 23 |
| 17 |
Eyüpspor
|
28 | 5 | 7 | 16 | -22 | 22 |
| 18 |
Fatih Karagümrük
A
|
28 | 5 | 5 | 18 | -22 | 20 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.