Ekstraklasa Ekstraklasa March 22, 2026
Korona Kielce

Korona Kielce

30
FT
Arka Gdynia

Arka Gdynia

We predicted

1-1 35% confidence
View full match details Sunday, March 22 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-1
|
Actual 3–0

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 35%
Team Context
Korona Kielce
Rank#13
Played25
Points33
PPG1.32
Goal Diff1
L W L L W
Arka Gdynia
15#Rank
25Played
30Points
1.2PPG
-16Goal Diff
D W L D W
Most Likely Scores
1-1
11.7%
8.58
1-0
11.3%
8.88
2-1
9.6%
10.37
2-0
9.3%
10.73
Both Teams To Score
YES 52% · 1.92
NO 48% · 2.09
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Korona Kielce 35% · 2.85
Draw 33% · 3.06
Arka Gdynia 32% · 3.1
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
50%
50%
Over 50% · 1.99 Under 50% · 2.01
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
75%
25%
Over 75% · 1.34 Under 25% · 3.98
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
28%
72%
Over 28% · 3.54 Under 72% · 1.39

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Korona Kielce Korona Kielce
L W L L W
Arka Gdynia Arka Gdynia
D W L D W

Key Stats Comparison

Korona Kielce
Stat
Arka Gdynia
1.66
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.03
#13
League Pos.
#15
33 pts
Points
30 pts
1.32
Points / Game
1.2
+1
Goal Diff.
-16

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Lech Poznan Lech Poznan
27 12 9 6 +9 45
2
Jagiellonia Jagiellonia
27 11 9 7 +9 42
3
Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze
27 12 6 9 +7 42
4
Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin
26 11 8 7 +10 41
5
Wisla Plock Wisla Plock
27 10 9 8 +2 39
6
Raków Częstochowa Raków Częstochowa
27 11 6 10 +2 39
7
GKS Katowice GKS Katowice
27 12 3 12 +1 39
8
Motor Lublin Motor Lublin
27 9 11 7 -3 38
9
Lechia Gdansk Lechia Gdansk
27 12 6 9 +5 37
10
Korona Kielce Korona Kielce H
27 10 6 11 +2 36
11
Cracovia Krakow Cracovia Krakow
27 9 9 9 +0 36
12
Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice
27 10 5 12 -2 35
13
Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom
27 8 10 9 +2 34
14
Pogon Szczecin Pogon Szczecin
27 10 4 13 -6 34
15
Legia Warszawa Legia Warszawa
27 7 12 8 +1 33
16
Widzew Łódź Widzew Łódź
27 8 6 13 -3 30
17
Arka Gdynia Arka Gdynia A
26 8 6 12 -19 30
18
Nieciecza Nieciecza
27 6 7 14 -17 25

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record