Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 March 22, 2026
Lagun Onak

Lagun Onak

00
FT
Real Sociedad III

Real Sociedad III

We predicted

1-0 37% confidence
View full match details Sunday, March 22 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-0
|
Actual 0–0

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 37%
Team Context
Lagun Onak
Rank#6
Played26
Points43
PPG1.65
Goal Diff13
D D D L L
Real Sociedad III
10#Rank
26Played
36Points
1.38PPG
-5Goal Diff
W L D L W
Most Likely Scores
1-0
13.0%
7.67
2-0
11.8%
8.48
1-1
10.7%
9.31
Lagun Onak 4+
10.7%
Both Teams To Score
YES 47% · 2.13
NO 53% · 1.88
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Lagun Onak 54% · 1.84
Draw 32% · 3.16
Real Sociedad III 14% · 7.13
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
49%
51%
Over 49% · 2.05 Under 51% · 1.95
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
74%
26%
Over 74% · 1.35 Under 26% · 3.82
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
27%
73%
Over 27% · 3.71 Under 73% · 1.37

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Lagun Onak Lagun Onak
D D D L L
Real Sociedad III Real Sociedad III
W L D L W

Key Stats Comparison

Lagun Onak
Stat
Real Sociedad III
1.81
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.82
#6
League Pos.
#10
43 pts
Points
36 pts
1.65
Points / Game
1.38
+13
Goal Diff.
-5

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Portugalete Portugalete
29 22 5 2 +42 71
2
Leioa Leioa
29 16 5 8 +14 53
3
Touring Touring
29 15 8 6 +13 53
4
Lagun Onak Lagun Onak H
29 16 4 9 +20 52
5
San Ignacio San Ignacio
29 14 7 9 +10 48
6
Derio Derio
29 14 5 10 +11 47
7
Aurrerá Vitoria Aurrerá Vitoria
29 14 5 10 +3 47
8
Deportivo Alavés III Deportivo Alavés III
29 12 8 9 +13 44
9
Real Sociedad III Real Sociedad III A
29 12 4 13 -4 40
10
Aretxabaleta Aretxabaleta
29 11 6 12 -3 39
11
Durango Durango
29 9 10 11 -1 37
12
Santurtzi Santurtzi
29 7 11 11 -9 32
13
Pasaia KE Pasaia KE
29 8 8 13 -10 32
14
Añorga Añorga
29 9 3 17 -22 30
15
Zamudio Zamudio
29 8 5 16 -18 29
16
Eibar III Eibar III
29 7 7 15 -15 28
17
Zarautz Zarautz
29 7 5 17 -26 26
18
Deusto Deusto
29 5 6 18 -18 21

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record