Non League Premier - Northern Non League Premier - Northern April 3, 2026
Lancaster City

Lancaster City

30
FT
Morpeth Town

Morpeth Town

We predicted

1-0 38% confidence
View full match details Friday, April 3 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-0
|
Actual 3–0

We predicted the correct result direction (home win), though the exact score differed.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 38%
Team Context
Lancaster City
Rank#7
Played35
Points51
PPG1.46
Goal Diff3
L D W L W
Morpeth Town
20#Rank
35Played
36Points
1.03PPG
-13Goal Diff
L W W L D
Most Likely Scores
1-0
12.3%
8.12
1-1
12.2%
8.21
2-0
9.5%
10.58
2-1
9.4%
10.7
Both Teams To Score
YES 49% · 2.03
NO 51% · 1.97
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Lancaster City 48% · 2.09
Draw 33% · 2.99
Morpeth Town 19% · 5.36
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
46%
54%
Over 46% · 2.17 Under 54% · 1.86
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
72%
28%
Over 72% · 1.39 Under 28% · 3.54
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
25%
75%
Over 25% · 4.06 Under 75% · 1.33

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Lancaster City Lancaster City
L D W L W
Morpeth Town Morpeth Town
L W W L D

Key Stats Comparison

Lancaster City
Stat
Morpeth Town
1.53
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.99
#7
League Pos.
#20
51 pts
Points
36 pts
1.46
Points / Game
1.03
+3
Goal Diff.
-13

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
United of Manchester United of Manchester
35 20 8 7 +24 68
2
Hebburn Town Hebburn Town
36 19 10 7 +28 67
3
Hednesford Town Hednesford Town
36 19 10 7 +21 67
4
Rylands Rylands
37 16 13 8 +16 61
5
Stockton Town Stockton Town
35 17 10 8 +14 58
6
Gainsborough Trinity Gainsborough Trinity
36 15 11 10 +10 56
7
Lancaster City Lancaster City H
36 15 9 12 +6 54
8
Cleethorpes Town Cleethorpes Town
36 14 11 11 +12 53
9
Bamber Bridge Bamber Bridge
36 14 7 15 +5 49
10
Ashton United Ashton United
36 13 9 14 -7 48
11
Warrington Town Warrington Town
37 12 12 13 -16 48
12
Guiseley AFC Guiseley AFC
37 13 8 16 -6 47
13
Leek Town Leek Town
36 13 7 16 -7 46
14
Ilkeston Town Ilkeston Town
36 13 6 17 -3 45
15
Whitby Town Whitby Town
36 10 11 15 -8 41
16
Workington Workington
36 9 12 15 -14 39
17
Rushall Olympic Rushall Olympic
36 9 11 16 -16 38
18
Hyde United Hyde United
36 8 13 15 -9 37
19
Prescot Cables Prescot Cables
37 7 15 15 -12 36
20
Morpeth Town Morpeth Town A
36 10 6 20 -16 36
21
Stocksbridge Park Steels Stocksbridge Park Steels
36 8 11 17 -22 35

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record