Ligue 1 Ligue 1 February 15, 2026
Le Havre

Le Havre

21
FT
Toulouse

Toulouse

We predicted

1-0 27% confidence
View full match details Sunday, February 15 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-0
|
Actual 2–1

We predicted the correct result direction (home win), though the exact score differed.

AI Match Predictions

very_low confidence
Prediction Reliability 27%
Team Context
Le Havre
Rank#13
Played21
Points23
PPG1.1
Goal Diff-8
W L D D W
Toulouse
9#Rank
21Played
30Points
1.43PPG
7Goal Diff
L D W W L
Most Likely Scores
1-0
14.3%
6.99
0-0
13.7%
7.29
1-1
13.5%
7.41
0-1
13.0%
7.72
Both Teams To Score
YES 40% · 2.53
NO 60% · 1.65
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Le Havre 37% · 2.69
Draw 31% · 3.23
Toulouse 32% · 3.13
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
32%
68%
Over 32% · 3.13 Under 68% · 1.47
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
59%
41%
Over 59% · 1.69 Under 41% · 2.44
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
86%
Over 14% · 7.13 Under 86% · 1.16

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Le Havre Le Havre
W L D D W
Toulouse Toulouse
L D W W L

Key Stats Comparison

Le Havre
Stat
Toulouse
1.04
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.94
#13
League Pos.
#9
23 pts
Points
30 pts
1.1
Points / Game
1.43
-8
Goal Diff.
+7

Head to Head

Full H2H record
2 W
1 D
2 W
Le Havre
Draw
Toulouse
11 total goals
5 meetings

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint Germain
27 20 3 4 +38 63
2
Lens Lens
28 19 2 7 +27 59
3
Lille Lille
28 15 5 8 +11 50
4
Marseille Marseille
27 15 4 8 +19 49
5
Lyon Lyon
27 14 5 8 +12 47
6
Rennes Rennes
28 13 8 7 +7 47
7
Monaco Monaco
27 14 4 9 +9 46
8
Strasbourg Strasbourg
28 12 7 9 +12 43
9
Toulouse Toulouse A
28 10 7 11 +4 37
10
Lorient Lorient
27 9 10 8 -4 37
11
Stade Brestois 29 Stade Brestois 29
28 10 6 12 -6 36
12
Angers Angers
27 9 5 13 -13 32
13
Paris FC Paris FC
27 7 10 10 -11 31
14
Le Havre Le Havre H
27 6 9 12 -13 27
15
Nice Nice
28 7 6 15 -22 27
16
Auxerre Auxerre
27 5 7 15 -14 22
17
Nantes Nantes
26 4 5 17 -21 17
18
Metz Metz
27 3 5 19 -35 14

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record