Ligue A Ligue A March 12, 2026
Le Messager Ngozi

Le Messager Ngozi

01
FT
Musongati

Musongati

We predicted

1-1 40% confidence
View full match details Thursday, March 12 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-1
|
Actual 0–1

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 40%
Team Context
Le Messager Ngozi
Rank#13
Played24
Points23
PPG0.96
Goal Diff-6
L W L D W
Musongati
2#Rank
24Played
47Points
1.96PPG
17Goal Diff
W D D W W
Most Likely Scores
1-1
13.4%
7.46
0-1
13.3%
7.5
1-0
11.7%
8.56
0-0
11.6%
8.61
Both Teams To Score
YES 43% · 2.31
NO 57% · 1.76
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Le Messager Ngozi 23% · 4.35
Draw 36% · 2.81
Musongati 41% · 2.42
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
36%
64%
Over 36% · 2.74 Under 64% · 1.57
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
63%
37%
Over 63% · 1.58 Under 37% · 2.73
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
17%
83%
Over 17% · 5.84 Under 83% · 1.21

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Le Messager Ngozi Le Messager Ngozi
L W L D W
Musongati Musongati
W D D W W

Key Stats Comparison

Le Messager Ngozi
Stat
Musongati
1.01
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.15
#13
League Pos.
#2
23 pts
Points
47 pts
0.96
Points / Game
1.96
-6
Goal Diff.
+17

Head to Head

Full H2H record
1 W
1 D
3 W
Le Messager Ngozi
Draw
Musongati
4 total goals
5 meetings

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Aigle Noir Aigle Noir
27 19 8 0 +36 65
2
Flambeau du Centre Flambeau du Centre
27 15 6 6 +15 51
3
Musongati Musongati A
27 14 8 5 +15 50
4
Royal Vision Royal Vision
27 15 2 10 +15 47
5
Bumamuru Bumamuru
27 13 7 7 +20 46
6
Vital'O Vital'O
27 13 7 7 +18 46
7
Rukinzo Rukinzo
27 12 7 8 +15 43
8
Muzinga Muzinga
27 9 9 9 -5 36
9
Ngozi City Ngozi City
27 8 9 10 +2 33
10
Inter Star Inter Star
27 8 8 11 +0 32
11
Olympic Star Olympic Star
27 8 8 11 -4 32
12
Kayanza United Kayanza United
27 7 10 10 -7 31
13
Le Messager Ngozi Le Messager Ngozi H
27 6 9 12 -5 27
14
Dynamik Dynamik
27 7 5 15 -23 26
15
Garage Express Garage Express
27 3 9 15 -40 18
16
Green Farmers FC Green Farmers FC
27 1 4 22 -52 7

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record