Ekstraklasa
March 22, 2026
Lech Poznan
4–1
FT
Nieciecza
We predicted
Lech Poznan 4+
62% confidence
View full match details
Sunday, March 22 2026
Prediction vs. Reality
Predicted
Lech Poznan 4+
|
Actual
4–1
Our model correctly predicted the outcome — Lech Poznan 4+ goals was spot on.
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
62%
Team Context
Lech Poznan
Rank#3
Played25
Points41
PPG1.64
Goal Diff6
W
L
W
W
W
Nieciecza
18#Rank
25Played
22Points
0.88PPG
-15Goal Diff
L
L
D
L
D
Most Likely Scores
Lech Poznan 4+
37.6%
3-0
10.5%
9.5
2-0
9.7%
10.27
3-1
8.4%
11.96
Both Teams To Score
YES
53% · 1.9
NO
47% · 2.11
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Lech Poznan
68% · 1.47
Draw
24% · 4.09
Nieciecza
8% · 13.16
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
76%
24%
Over 76% · 1.32
Under 24% · 4.09
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
91%
Over 91% · 1.1
Under 9% · 10.71
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
55%
45%
Over 55% · 1.81
Under 45% · 2.23
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Lech Poznan
W
L
W
W
W
Nieciecza
L
L
D
L
D
Key Stats Comparison
Lech Poznan
Stat
Nieciecza
3.24
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.79
#3
League Pos.
#18
41 pts
Points
22 pts
1.64
Points / Game
0.88
+6
Goal Diff.
-15
Head to Head
Full H2H record4 W
0 D
0 W
Lech Poznan
Draw
Nieciecza
16
total goals
4
meetings
Last 3 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Lech Poznan
H
|
27 | 12 | 9 | 6 | +9 | 45 |
| 2 |
Jagiellonia
|
27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | +9 | 42 |
| 3 |
Gornik Zabrze
|
27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | +7 | 42 |
| 4 |
Zaglebie Lubin
|
26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | +10 | 41 |
| 5 |
Wisla Plock
|
27 | 10 | 9 | 8 | +2 | 39 |
| 6 |
Raków Częstochowa
|
27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | +2 | 39 |
| 7 |
GKS Katowice
|
27 | 12 | 3 | 12 | +1 | 39 |
| 8 |
Motor Lublin
|
27 | 9 | 11 | 7 | -3 | 38 |
| 9 |
Lechia Gdansk
|
27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | +5 | 37 |
| 10 |
Korona Kielce
|
27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | +2 | 36 |
| 11 |
Cracovia Krakow
|
27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | +0 | 36 |
| 12 |
Piast Gliwice
|
27 | 10 | 5 | 12 | -2 | 35 |
| 13 |
Radomiak Radom
|
27 | 8 | 10 | 9 | +2 | 34 |
| 14 |
Pogon Szczecin
|
27 | 10 | 4 | 13 | -6 | 34 |
| 15 |
Legia Warszawa
|
27 | 7 | 12 | 8 | +1 | 33 |
| 16 |
Widzew Łódź
|
27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | -3 | 30 |
| 17 |
Arka Gdynia
|
26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | -19 | 30 |
| 18 |
Nieciecza
A
|
27 | 6 | 7 | 14 | -17 | 25 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.