Ekstraklasa
April 6, 2026
Lechia Gdansk
4–2
FT
Korona Kielce
We predicted
Lechia Gdansk 4+
44% confidence
View full match details
Monday, April 6 2026
Prediction vs. Reality
Predicted
Lechia Gdansk 4+
|
Actual
4–2
Our model correctly predicted the outcome — Lechia Gdansk 4+ goals was spot on.
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
44%
Team Context
Lechia Gdansk
Rank#12
Played26
Points34
PPG1.31
Goal Diff3
W
L
W
D
L
Korona Kielce
9#Rank
26Played
36Points
1.38PPG
4Goal Diff
W
L
W
L
L
Most Likely Scores
Lechia Gdansk 4+
22.3%
2-1
9.3%
10.8
3-1
7.7%
13.02
1-1
7.4%
13.44
Both Teams To Score
YES
66% · 1.51
NO
34% · 2.97
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Lechia Gdansk
42% · 2.39
Draw
29% · 3.45
Korona Kielce
29% · 3.43
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
72%
28%
Over 72% · 1.38
Under 28% · 3.62
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
89%
Over 89% · 1.12
Under 11% · 9.03
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
52%
48%
Over 52% · 1.94
Under 48% · 2.06
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Lechia Gdansk
W
L
W
D
L
Korona Kielce
W
L
W
L
L
Key Stats Comparison
Lechia Gdansk
Stat
Korona Kielce
2.49
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.29
#12
League Pos.
#9
34 pts
Points
36 pts
1.31
Points / Game
1.38
+3
Goal Diff.
+4
Head to Head
Full H2H record2 W
1 D
2 W
Lechia Gdansk
Draw
Korona Kielce
15
total goals
5
meetings
Last 3 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Lech Poznan
|
27 | 12 | 9 | 6 | +9 | 45 |
| 2 |
Jagiellonia
|
27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | +9 | 42 |
| 3 |
Gornik Zabrze
|
27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | +7 | 42 |
| 4 |
Zaglebie Lubin
|
26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | +10 | 41 |
| 5 |
Wisla Plock
|
27 | 10 | 9 | 8 | +2 | 39 |
| 6 |
Raków Częstochowa
|
27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | +2 | 39 |
| 7 |
GKS Katowice
|
27 | 12 | 3 | 12 | +1 | 39 |
| 8 |
Motor Lublin
|
26 | 9 | 10 | 7 | -3 | 37 |
| 9 |
Korona Kielce
A
|
26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | +4 | 36 |
| 10 |
Cracovia Krakow
|
27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | +0 | 36 |
| 11 |
Piast Gliwice
|
26 | 10 | 5 | 11 | -1 | 35 |
| 12 |
Lechia Gdansk
H
|
26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | +3 | 34 |
| 13 |
Pogon Szczecin
|
26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | -4 | 34 |
| 14 |
Radomiak Radom
|
26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | +2 | 33 |
| 15 |
Legia Warszawa
|
26 | 6 | 12 | 8 | -1 | 30 |
| 16 |
Widzew Łódź
|
27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | -3 | 30 |
| 17 |
Arka Gdynia
|
26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | -19 | 30 |
| 18 |
Nieciecza
|
26 | 5 | 7 | 14 | -18 | 22 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.