Segunda División
March 21, 2026
Leganes
5–2
FT
AD Ceuta FC
We predicted
Leganes 4+
50% confidence
View full match details
Saturday, March 21 2026
Prediction vs. Reality
Predicted
Leganes 4+
|
Actual
5–2
Our model correctly predicted the outcome — Leganes 4+ goals was spot on.
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
50%
Team Context
Leganes
Rank#18
Played30
Points34
PPG1.13
Goal Diff-1
L
L
D
D
L
AD Ceuta FC
9#Rank
30Played
44Points
1.47PPG
-8Goal Diff
L
L
W
W
W
Most Likely Scores
Leganes 4+
28.6%
2-0
11.1%
8.98
3-0
10.3%
9.69
2-1
8.8%
11.36
Both Teams To Score
YES
51% · 1.95
NO
49% · 2.05
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Leganes
65% · 1.54
Draw
26% · 3.82
AD Ceuta FC
9% · 11.27
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
69%
31%
Over 69% · 1.46
Under 31% · 3.18
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
87%
Over 87% · 1.15
Under 13% · 7.61
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
47%
53%
Over 47% · 2.14
Under 53% · 1.87
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Leganes
L
L
D
D
L
AD Ceuta FC
L
L
W
W
W
Key Stats Comparison
Leganes
Stat
AD Ceuta FC
2.78
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.79
#18
League Pos.
#9
34 pts
Points
44 pts
1.13
Points / Game
1.47
-1
Goal Diff.
-8
Head to Head
Full H2H record2 W
0 D
0 W
Leganes
Draw
AD Ceuta FC
10
total goals
2
meetings
Last 2 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Racing Santander
|
34 | 19 | 5 | 10 | +14 | 62 |
| 2 |
Almeria
|
34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | +19 | 61 |
| 3 |
Deportivo La Coruna
|
34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | +15 | 60 |
| 4 |
Las Palmas
|
34 | 15 | 12 | 7 | +17 | 57 |
| 5 |
Malaga
|
34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | +15 | 57 |
| 6 |
Burgos
|
34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | +12 | 57 |
| 7 |
Castellón
|
33 | 15 | 9 | 9 | +14 | 54 |
| 8 |
Eibar
|
34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | +9 | 54 |
| 9 |
AD Ceuta FC
A
|
34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | -13 | 48 |
| 10 |
FC Andorra
|
34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | +3 | 46 |
| 11 |
Sporting Gijon
|
33 | 13 | 7 | 13 | +1 | 46 |
| 12 |
Cordoba
|
34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | -6 | 45 |
| 13 |
Albacete
|
34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | -2 | 44 |
| 14 |
Granada CF
|
33 | 10 | 12 | 11 | +3 | 42 |
| 15 |
Real Sociedad II
|
33 | 11 | 7 | 15 | -4 | 40 |
| 16 |
Leganes
H
|
34 | 9 | 12 | 13 | +1 | 39 |
| 17 |
Valladolid
|
34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | -8 | 39 |
| 18 |
Cadiz
|
34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | -14 | 38 |
| 19 |
Zaragoza
|
34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | -15 | 34 |
| 20 |
Huesca
|
34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | -18 | 32 |
| 21 |
Mirandes
|
34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | -19 | 32 |
| 22 |
Cultural Leonesa
|
34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | -24 | 32 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.