Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 March 28, 2026
Leioa

Leioa

11
FT
Deportivo Alavés III

Deportivo Alavés III

We predicted

1-0 38% confidence
View full match details Saturday, March 28 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-0
|
Actual 1–1

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 38%
Team Context
Leioa
Rank#2
Played27
Points52
PPG1.93
Goal Diff15
W W D W W
Deportivo Alavés III
7#Rank
27Played
42Points
1.56PPG
13Goal Diff
W L W L W
Most Likely Scores
1-0
11.5%
8.7
1-1
11.2%
8.92
2-0
10.1%
9.95
2-1
9.8%
10.19
Both Teams To Score
YES 51% · 1.94
NO 49% · 2.06
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Leioa 51% · 1.95
Draw 32% · 3.11
Deportivo Alavés III 17% · 6.03
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
51%
49%
Over 51% · 1.96 Under 49% · 2.05
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
76%
24%
Over 76% · 1.32 Under 24% · 4.08
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
29%
71%
Over 29% · 3.45 Under 71% · 1.41

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Leioa Leioa
W W D W W
Deportivo Alavés III Deportivo Alavés III
W L W L W

Key Stats Comparison

Leioa
Stat
Deportivo Alavés III
1.75
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.98
#2
League Pos.
#7
52 pts
Points
42 pts
1.93
Points / Game
1.56
+15
Goal Diff.
+13

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Portugalete Portugalete
29 22 5 2 +42 71
2
Leioa Leioa H
29 16 5 8 +14 53
3
Touring Touring
29 15 8 6 +13 53
4
Lagun Onak Lagun Onak
29 16 4 9 +20 52
5
San Ignacio San Ignacio
29 14 7 9 +10 48
6
Derio Derio
29 14 5 10 +11 47
7
Aurrerá Vitoria Aurrerá Vitoria
29 14 5 10 +3 47
8
Deportivo Alavés III Deportivo Alavés III A
29 12 8 9 +13 44
9
Real Sociedad III Real Sociedad III
29 12 4 13 -4 40
10
Aretxabaleta Aretxabaleta
29 11 6 12 -3 39
11
Durango Durango
29 9 10 11 -1 37
12
Santurtzi Santurtzi
29 7 11 11 -9 32
13
Pasaia KE Pasaia KE
29 8 8 13 -10 32
14
Añorga Añorga
29 9 3 17 -22 30
15
Zamudio Zamudio
29 8 5 16 -18 29
16
Eibar III Eibar III
29 7 7 15 -15 28
17
Zarautz Zarautz
29 7 5 17 -26 26
18
Deusto Deusto
29 5 6 18 -18 21

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record