Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 March 14, 2026
Leioa

Leioa

31
FT
Zarautz

Zarautz

We predicted

Leioa 4+ 46% confidence
View full match details Saturday, March 14 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted Leioa 4+
|
Actual 3–1

We predicted the correct result direction (home), though fewer than 4 goals were scored.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 46%
Team Context
Leioa
Rank#2
Played25
Points46
PPG1.84
Goal Diff12
D W W L W
Zarautz
18#Rank
24Played
21Points
0.88PPG
-23Goal Diff
D L W L L
Most Likely Scores
Leioa 4+
17.5%
2-0
12.4%
8.1
1-0
11.2%
8.94
2-1
9.7%
10.35
Both Teams To Score
YES 48% · 2.07
NO 52% · 1.93
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Leioa 60% · 1.67
Draw 29% · 3.44
Zarautz 11% · 8.98
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
57%
43%
Over 57% · 1.75 Under 43% · 2.33
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
80%
20%
Over 80% · 1.25 Under 20% · 4.95
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
35%
65%
Over 35% · 2.89 Under 65% · 1.53

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Leioa Leioa
D W W L W
Zarautz Zarautz
D L W L L

Key Stats Comparison

Leioa
Stat
Zarautz
2.21
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.78
#2
League Pos.
#18
46 pts
Points
21 pts
1.84
Points / Game
0.88
+12
Goal Diff.
-23

Head to Head

Full H2H record
1 W
1 D
0 W
Leioa
Draw
Zarautz
6 total goals
2 meetings

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Portugalete Portugalete
29 22 5 2 +42 71
2
Leioa Leioa H
29 16 5 8 +14 53
3
Touring Touring
29 15 8 6 +13 53
4
Lagun Onak Lagun Onak
29 16 4 9 +20 52
5
San Ignacio San Ignacio
29 14 7 9 +10 48
6
Derio Derio
29 14 5 10 +11 47
7
Aurrerá Vitoria Aurrerá Vitoria
29 14 5 10 +3 47
8
Deportivo Alavés III Deportivo Alavés III
29 12 8 9 +13 44
9
Real Sociedad III Real Sociedad III
29 12 4 13 -4 40
10
Aretxabaleta Aretxabaleta
29 11 6 12 -3 39
11
Durango Durango
29 9 10 11 -1 37
12
Santurtzi Santurtzi
29 7 11 11 -9 32
13
Pasaia KE Pasaia KE
29 8 8 13 -10 32
14
Añorga Añorga
29 9 3 17 -22 30
15
Zamudio Zamudio
29 8 5 16 -18 29
16
Eibar III Eibar III
29 7 7 15 -15 28
17
Zarautz Zarautz A
29 7 5 17 -26 26
18
Deusto Deusto
29 5 6 18 -18 21

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record