Ligue 1 Ligue 1 March 8, 2026
Lens

Lens

30
FT
Metz

Metz

We predicted

1-0 33% confidence
View full match details Sunday, March 8 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-0
|
Actual 3–0

We predicted the correct result direction (home win), though the exact score differed.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 33%
Team Context
Lens
Rank#2
Played24
Points53
PPG2.21
Goal Diff24
D L W W W
Metz
18#Rank
24Played
13Points
0.54PPG
-31Goal Diff
L L L D L
Most Likely Scores
1-0
14.8%
6.74
2-0
12.2%
8.18
1-1
11.3%
8.85
2-1
9.3%
10.75
Both Teams To Score
YES 43% · 2.33
NO 57% · 1.75
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Lens 53% · 1.88
Draw 33% · 3.06
Metz 14% · 7.0
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
43%
57%
Over 43% · 2.32 Under 57% · 1.76
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
69%
31%
Over 69% · 1.44 Under 31% · 3.26
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
22%
78%
Over 22% · 4.51 Under 78% · 1.28

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Lens Lens
D L W W W
Metz Metz
L L L D L

Key Stats Comparison

Lens
Stat
Metz
1.65
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.76
#2
League Pos.
#18
53 pts
Points
13 pts
2.21
Points / Game
0.54
+24
Goal Diff.
-31

Head to Head

Full H2H record
2 W
0 D
3 W
Lens
Draw
Metz
12 total goals
5 meetings

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint Germain
27 20 3 4 +38 63
2
Lens Lens H
28 19 2 7 +27 59
3
Lille Lille
28 15 5 8 +11 50
4
Marseille Marseille
27 15 4 8 +19 49
5
Lyon Lyon
27 14 5 8 +12 47
6
Rennes Rennes
28 13 8 7 +7 47
7
Monaco Monaco
27 14 4 9 +9 46
8
Strasbourg Strasbourg
28 12 7 9 +12 43
9
Toulouse Toulouse
28 10 7 11 +4 37
10
Lorient Lorient
27 9 10 8 -4 37
11
Stade Brestois 29 Stade Brestois 29
28 10 6 12 -6 36
12
Angers Angers
27 9 5 13 -13 32
13
Paris FC Paris FC
27 7 10 10 -11 31
14
Le Havre Le Havre
27 6 9 12 -13 27
15
Nice Nice
28 7 6 15 -22 27
16
Auxerre Auxerre
27 5 7 15 -14 22
17
Nantes Nantes
26 4 5 17 -21 17
18
Metz Metz A
27 3 5 19 -35 14

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record