Liga MX Liga MX March 1, 2026
Leon

Leon

21
FT
Necaxa

Necaxa

We predicted

1-0 29% confidence
View full match details Sunday, March 1 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-0
|
Actual 2–1

We predicted the correct result direction (home win), though the exact score differed.

AI Match Predictions

very_low confidence
Prediction Reliability 29%
Team Context
Leon
Rank#14
Played7
Points7
PPG1.0
Goal Diff-3
W L L L D
Necaxa
11#Rank
7Played
9Points
1.29PPG
-2Goal Diff
L W W L L
Most Likely Scores
1-0
17.1%
5.85
0-0
12.8%
7.81
1-1
12.3%
8.12
2-0
11.4%
8.75
Both Teams To Score
YES 38% · 2.64
NO 62% · 1.61
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Leon 51% · 1.94
Draw 28% · 3.52
Necaxa 20% · 4.97
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
34%
66%
Over 34% · 2.96 Under 66% · 1.51
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
61%
39%
Over 61% · 1.64 Under 39% · 2.56
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
85%
Over 15% · 6.54 Under 85% · 1.18

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Leon Leon
W L L L D
Necaxa Necaxa
L W W L L

Key Stats Comparison

Leon
Stat
Necaxa
1.34
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.72
#14
League Pos.
#11
7 pts
Points
9 pts
1.0
Points / Game
1.29
-3
Goal Diff.
-2

Head to Head

Full H2H record
2 W
1 D
2 W
Leon
Draw
Necaxa
12 total goals
5 meetings

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Guadalajara Chivas Guadalajara Chivas
12 10 0 2 +14 30
2
Cruz Azul Cruz Azul
13 8 3 2 +10 27
3
Toluca Toluca
13 7 5 1 +11 26
4
Pachuca Pachuca
13 7 4 2 +6 25
5
U.N.A.M. - Pumas U.N.A.M. - Pumas
12 6 5 1 +9 23
6
Atlas Atlas
13 5 3 5 -3 18
7
Tigres UANL Tigres UANL
13 5 2 6 +3 17
8
Club America Club America
12 5 2 5 +2 17
9
Necaxa Necaxa A
13 5 1 7 -1 16
10
Leon Leon H
13 5 1 7 -10 16
11
Club Tijuana Club Tijuana
13 3 6 4 -1 15
12
FC Juarez FC Juarez
12 4 3 5 -2 15
13
Monterrey Monterrey
13 4 2 7 +2 14
14
Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis
13 4 2 7 -2 14
15
Puebla Puebla
13 3 4 6 -5 13
16
Club Queretaro Club Queretaro
12 2 5 5 -7 11
17
Mazatlán Mazatlán
13 3 2 8 -10 11
18
Santos Laguna Santos Laguna
12 2 2 8 -16 8

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record