Liga de Expansión MX
April 5, 2026
Leones Negros UDG
1–0
LIVE
Monarcas
Predicted score
Leones Negros UDG 4+
35% confidence
View full match details
Sunday, April 5 2026
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
35%
Team Context
Leones Negros UDG
Rank#6
Played14
Points21
PPG1.5
Goal Diff2
W
W
W
L
L
Monarcas
7#Rank
14Played
19Points
1.36PPG
-2Goal Diff
D
W
L
W
D
Most Likely Scores
Leones Negros UDG 4+
11.2%
1-0
10.8%
9.23
1-1
10.8%
9.29
2-0
10.0%
10.01
Both Teams To Score
YES
53% · 1.89
NO
47% · 2.13
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Leones Negros UDG
38% · 2.61
Draw
32% · 3.16
Monarcas
30% · 3.33
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
54%
46%
Over 54% · 1.86
Under 46% · 2.16
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
77%
23%
Over 77% · 1.29
Under 23% · 4.44
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
31%
69%
Over 31% · 3.18
Under 69% · 1.46
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Leones Negros UDG
W
W
W
L
L
Monarcas
D
W
L
W
D
Key Stats Comparison
Leones Negros UDG
Stat
Monarcas
1.84
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.99
#6
League Pos.
#7
21 pts
Points
19 pts
1.5
Points / Game
1.36
+2
Goal Diff.
-2
Head to Head
Full H2H record4 W
0 D
1 W
Leones Negros UDG
Draw
Monarcas
14
total goals
5
meetings
Last 3 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Atlante FC
|
14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | +25 | 30 |
| 2 |
Cancún
|
14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | +18 | 30 |
| 3 |
CDS Tampico Madero
|
14 | 8 | 6 | 0 | +9 | 30 |
| 4 |
Irapuato
|
14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | +4 | 23 |
| 5 |
Mineros de Zacatecas
|
14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | +2 | 21 |
| 6 |
Leones Negros UDG
H
|
14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | +2 | 21 |
| 7 |
Monarcas
A
|
14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | -2 | 19 |
| 8 |
Tepatitlán
|
14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | +5 | 18 |
| 9 |
Venados FC
|
14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | -1 | 18 |
| 10 |
CA La Paz
|
14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | -5 | 17 |
| 11 |
Tapatío
|
14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | +2 | 15 |
| 12 |
Tlaxcala
|
14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | -13 | 14 |
| 13 |
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
|
14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -9 | 13 |
| 14 |
Correcaminos Uat
|
14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | -19 | 10 |
| 15 |
Dorados
|
14 | 1 | 2 | 11 | -18 | 5 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.