Liga Premier Serie A Liga Premier Serie A March 21, 2026
Leones Negros

Leones Negros

21
FT
Guerreros

Guerreros

We predicted

Leones Negros 4+ 36% confidence
View full match details Saturday, March 21 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted Leones Negros 4+
|
Actual 2–1

We predicted the correct result direction (home), though fewer than 4 goals were scored.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 36%
Team Context
Leones Negros
Rank#5
Played23
Points43
PPG1.87
Goal Diff12
L W W W L
Guerreros
9#Rank
22Played
29Points
1.32PPG
-1Goal Diff
D L D L D
Most Likely Scores
Leones Negros 4+
12.4%
1-1
10.3%
9.69
2-1
9.9%
10.07
1-0
9.4%
10.7
Both Teams To Score
YES 57% · 1.75
NO 43% · 2.33
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Leones Negros 52% · 1.93
Draw 31% · 3.2
Guerreros 17% · 5.91
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
58%
42%
Over 58% · 1.72 Under 42% · 2.39
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
80%
20%
Over 80% · 1.24 Under 20% · 5.11
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
36%
64%
Over 36% · 2.81 Under 64% · 1.55

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Leones Negros Leones Negros
L W W W L
Guerreros Guerreros
D L D L D

Key Stats Comparison

Leones Negros
Stat
Guerreros
1.92
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.1
#5
League Pos.
#9
43 pts
Points
29 pts
1.87
Points / Game
1.32
+12
Goal Diff.
-1

Head to Head

Full H2H record
2 W
0 D
0 W
Leones Negros
Draw
Guerreros
12 total goals
2 meetings

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Real Apodaca Real Apodaca
25 21 2 2 +29 66
1
Durango Durango
25 20 2 3 +54 71
1
Racing de Veracruz Racing de Veracruz
23 20 3 0 +41 68
2
Tigres de Alica Tigres de Alica
25 16 3 6 +19 52
2
FC Santiago FC Santiago
25 13 7 5 +16 47
2
Deportiva Venados Deportiva Venados
23 14 4 5 +30 49
3
Cimarrones Cimarrones
25 14 7 4 +23 50
3
Celaya Celaya
23 12 3 8 +10 42
3
Zacatepec 1948 Zacatepec 1948
25 12 8 5 +15 45
4
Leones Negros Leones Negros H
25 15 2 8 +15 50
4
Deportivo Zap Deportivo Zap
25 11 6 8 +18 44
4
Inter Playa del Carmen Inter Playa del Carmen
24 13 4 7 +7 42
5
Calor de San Pedro Calor de San Pedro
25 11 7 7 +8 41
5
Tapachula Tapachula
23 12 0 11 +12 41
5
Tritons Vallarta Tritons Vallarta
25 15 1 9 +6 46
6
Gavilanes FC Matamoros Gavilanes FC Matamoros
25 11 5 9 +8 41
6
Montañeses Montañeses
23 12 2 9 +8 38
6
Tecos Tecos
25 13 4 8 +12 45
7
Lobos ULMX Lobos ULMX
25 11 6 8 +8 40
7
Mineros de Fresnillo Mineros de Fresnillo
25 11 4 10 +0 39
7
Pioneros de Cancún Pioneros de Cancún
23 10 2 11 +0 34
8
Los Cabos United Los Cabos United
25 11 3 11 -1 37
8
Correcaminos UAT II Correcaminos UAT II
25 8 7 10 +1 33
8
Jaguares de Chiapas Jaguares de Chiapas
23 9 3 11 +1 33
9
Chilpancingo Chilpancingo
25 8 8 9 -9 32
9
Héroes de Zaci Héroes de Zaci
23 9 2 12 -14 30
9
Guerreros Guerreros A
25 8 5 12 -1 32
10
Chapulineros Chapulineros
23 5 7 11 -12 22
10
Ensenada Ensenada
25 8 2 15 -22 28
10
Cordobés Cordobés
25 7 6 12 -4 26
11
Cañoneros Marina Cañoneros Marina
23 7 1 15 -19 22
11
Sporting Canamy Sporting Canamy
25 5 8 12 -14 26
11
UA Zacatecas UA Zacatecas
25 7 4 14 -20 26
12
Zitacuaro Zitacuaro
25 5 10 10 -10 25
12
Acatlan Acatlan
25 6 1 18 -30 21
12
Neza Neza
23 5 2 16 -42 19
13
Reboceros La Piedad Reboceros La Piedad
25 6 1 18 -30 20
13
Ciervos Ciervos
25 4 4 17 -29 18
13
Mexicali FC Mexicali FC
23 4 3 16 -22 17
14
Atletico Hidalgo Atletico Hidalgo
25 4 4 17 -37 16
14
Colima Colima
25 4 3 18 -25 17

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record