First League First League March 21, 2026
Levski Sofia

Levski Sofia

21
FT
Cherno More Varna

Cherno More Varna

We predicted

1-0 48% confidence
View full match details Saturday, March 21 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-0
|
Actual 2–1

We predicted the correct result direction (home win), though the exact score differed.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 48%
Team Context
Levski Sofia
Rank#1
Played26
Points62
PPG2.38
Goal Diff40
W W L W W
Cherno More Varna
5#Rank
26Played
43Points
1.65PPG
14Goal Diff
W W D L D
Most Likely Scores
1-0
25.1%
3.99
0-0
18.6%
5.39
2-0
16.9%
5.9
1-1
8.4%
11.95
Both Teams To Score
YES 21% · 4.75
NO 79% · 1.27
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Levski Sofia 56% · 1.79
Draw 35% · 2.88
Cherno More Varna 9% · 10.62
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
24%
76%
Over 24% · 4.19 Under 76% · 1.31
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
50%
50%
Over 50% · 1.99 Under 50% · 2.01
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
91%
Over 9% · 11.05 Under 91% · 1.1

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Levski Sofia Levski Sofia
W W L W W
Cherno More Varna Cherno More Varna
W W D L D

Key Stats Comparison

Levski Sofia
Stat
Cherno More Varna
1.35
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.33
#1
League Pos.
#5
62 pts
Points
43 pts
2.38
Points / Game
1.65
+40
Goal Diff.
+14

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Levski Sofia Levski Sofia H
27 21 2 4 +41 65
2
Ludogorets Ludogorets
27 16 8 3 +35 56
3
CSKA 1948 CSKA 1948
27 16 5 6 +17 53
4
CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia
28 15 7 6 +19 52
5
Lokomotiv Plovdiv Lokomotiv Plovdiv
28 11 11 6 -3 44
6
Cherno More Varna Cherno More Varna A
27 11 10 6 +13 43
7
Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali
28 11 8 9 +6 41
8
Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv
28 10 6 12 +0 36
9
Slavia Sofia Slavia Sofia
27 9 8 10 +2 35
10
Botev Vratsa Botev Vratsa
27 8 10 9 -2 34
11
Lokomotiv Sofia Lokomotiv Sofia
28 8 10 10 +1 34
12
Dobrudzha Dobrudzha
27 7 4 16 -16 25
13
Spartak Varna Spartak Varna
28 4 11 13 -26 23
14
Beroe Beroe
28 4 10 14 -24 22
15
Septemvri Sofia Septemvri Sofia
27 6 3 18 -34 21
16
Montana Montana
28 3 7 18 -29 16

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record