Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 March 22, 2026
Llerenense

Llerenense

03
FT
Badajoz

Badajoz

We predicted

1-1 37% confidence
View full match details Sunday, March 22 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-1
|
Actual 0–3

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 37%
Team Context
Llerenense
Rank#10
Played26
Points35
PPG1.35
Goal Diff-2
L D L W L
Badajoz
3#Rank
26Played
47Points
1.81PPG
14Goal Diff
W W L L W
Most Likely Scores
1-1
12.9%
7.73
1-0
12.1%
8.26
0-1
9.8%
10.24
0-0
9.1%
10.94
Both Teams To Score
YES 48% · 2.08
NO 52% · 1.93
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Llerenense 29% · 3.4
Draw 34% · 2.9
Badajoz 36% · 2.77
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
43%
57%
Over 43% · 2.34 Under 57% · 1.75
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
69%
31%
Over 69% · 1.45 Under 31% · 3.22
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
22%
78%
Over 22% · 4.56 Under 78% · 1.28

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Llerenense Llerenense
L D L W L
Badajoz Badajoz
W W L L W

Key Stats Comparison

Llerenense
Stat
Badajoz
1.32
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.07
#10
League Pos.
#3
35 pts
Points
47 pts
1.35
Points / Game
1.81
-2
Goal Diff.
+14

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Don Benito Don Benito
28 17 7 4 +38 58
2
Moralo Moralo
29 16 9 5 +21 56
3
Badajoz Badajoz A
28 17 5 6 +18 53
4
Azuaga Azuaga
28 15 7 6 +18 52
5
Jaraíz Jaraíz
28 14 9 5 +22 51
6
Cabeza Buey Cabeza Buey
29 12 12 5 +13 48
7
Villafranca Villafranca
29 13 6 10 +3 45
8
Villanovense Villanovense
28 11 8 9 +3 41
9
Jerez Jerez
29 7 17 5 +9 38
10
Montijo Montijo
28 10 6 12 +1 36
11
Llerenense Llerenense H
29 10 6 13 -6 36
12
Santa Amalia Santa Amalia
29 9 6 14 -16 33
13
Puebla Calzada Puebla Calzada
29 7 12 11 -11 32
14
Gévora Gévora
29 6 8 15 -19 26
15
Diocesano Diocesano
28 5 9 14 -22 24
16
Atlético Pueblonuevo Atlético Pueblonuevo
28 6 5 17 -27 23
17
Calamonte Calamonte
28 3 11 14 -14 20
18
Montehermoso Montehermoso
28 4 8 17 -31 20

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record