Tercera División RFEF - Group 14
March 28, 2026
Llerenense
1–1
FT
Jerez
We predicted
1-1
34% confidence
View full match details
Saturday, March 28 2026
Correct prediction!
Predicted
1-1
|
Actual
1–1
Our model correctly predicted the final scoreline.
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
34%
Team Context
Llerenense
Rank#10
Played27
Points35
PPG1.3
Goal Diff-5
L
L
D
L
W
Jerez
9#Rank
27Played
36Points
1.33PPG
9Goal Diff
L
L
W
L
D
Most Likely Scores
1-1
12.0%
8.32
1-0
10.0%
10.03
2-1
9.1%
10.95
0-1
7.9%
12.63
Both Teams To Score
YES
55% · 1.83
NO
45% · 2.21
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Llerenense
31% · 3.26
Draw
33% · 3.01
Jerez
36% · 2.77
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
51%
49%
Over 51% · 1.95
Under 49% · 2.05
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
76%
24%
Over 76% · 1.32
Under 24% · 4.09
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
29%
71%
Over 29% · 3.44
Under 71% · 1.41
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Llerenense
L
L
D
L
W
Jerez
L
L
W
L
D
Key Stats Comparison
Llerenense
Stat
Jerez
1.52
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.21
#10
League Pos.
#9
35 pts
Points
36 pts
1.3
Points / Game
1.33
-5
Goal Diff.
+9
Head to Head
Full H2H record1 W
2 D
2 W
Llerenense
Draw
Jerez
14
total goals
5
meetings
Last 3 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Don Benito
|
28 | 17 | 7 | 4 | +38 | 58 |
| 2 |
Moralo
|
29 | 16 | 9 | 5 | +21 | 56 |
| 3 |
Badajoz
|
28 | 17 | 5 | 6 | +18 | 53 |
| 4 |
Azuaga
|
28 | 15 | 7 | 6 | +18 | 52 |
| 5 |
Jaraíz
|
28 | 14 | 9 | 5 | +22 | 51 |
| 6 |
Cabeza Buey
|
29 | 12 | 12 | 5 | +13 | 48 |
| 7 |
Villafranca
|
29 | 13 | 6 | 10 | +3 | 45 |
| 8 |
Villanovense
|
28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | +3 | 41 |
| 9 |
Jerez
A
|
29 | 7 | 17 | 5 | +9 | 38 |
| 10 |
Montijo
|
28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | +1 | 36 |
| 11 |
Llerenense
H
|
29 | 10 | 6 | 13 | -6 | 36 |
| 12 |
Santa Amalia
|
29 | 9 | 6 | 14 | -16 | 33 |
| 13 |
Puebla Calzada
|
29 | 7 | 12 | 11 | -11 | 32 |
| 14 |
Gévora
|
29 | 6 | 8 | 15 | -19 | 26 |
| 15 |
Diocesano
|
28 | 5 | 9 | 14 | -22 | 24 |
| 16 |
Atlético Pueblonuevo
|
28 | 6 | 5 | 17 | -27 | 23 |
| 17 |
Calamonte
|
28 | 3 | 11 | 14 | -14 | 20 |
| 18 |
Montehermoso
|
28 | 4 | 8 | 17 | -31 | 20 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.