Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 March 15, 2026
Lorca Deportiva

Lorca Deportiva

02
FT
Estepona

Estepona

We predicted

1-0 41% confidence
View full match details Sunday, March 15 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-0
|
Actual 0–2

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 41%
Team Context
Lorca Deportiva
Rank#7
Played26
Points42
PPG1.62
Goal Diff3
W L W D W
Estepona
16#Rank
26Played
26Points
1.0PPG
-11Goal Diff
W L W W D
Most Likely Scores
1-0
14.5%
6.91
1-1
11.8%
8.47
2-0
11.4%
8.8
2-1
9.3%
10.8
Both Teams To Score
YES 44% · 2.27
NO 56% · 1.79
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Lorca Deportiva 51% · 1.96
Draw 33% · 3.01
Estepona 16% · 6.38
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
43%
57%
Over 43% · 2.35 Under 57% · 1.74
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
69%
31%
Over 69% · 1.45 Under 31% · 3.2
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
22%
78%
Over 22% · 4.61 Under 78% · 1.28

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Lorca Deportiva Lorca Deportiva
W L W D W
Estepona Estepona
W L W W D

Key Stats Comparison

Lorca Deportiva
Stat
Estepona
1.57
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.82
#7
League Pos.
#16
42 pts
Points
26 pts
1.62
Points / Game
1.0
+3
Goal Diff.
-11

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Extremadura 1924 Extremadura 1924
30 14 11 5 +12 53
2
Ucam Murcia Ucam Murcia
29 15 7 7 +11 52
3
Xerez Xerez
29 15 6 8 +7 51
4
Recreativo Huelva Recreativo Huelva
30 14 9 7 +17 51
5
Deportiva Minera Deportiva Minera
29 15 5 9 +12 50
6
Águilas Águilas
29 14 7 8 +13 49
7
Real Jaén Real Jaén
30 13 9 8 +7 48
8
Lorca Deportiva Lorca Deportiva H
29 12 7 10 +0 43
9
Linares Deportivo Linares Deportivo
30 10 13 7 -3 43
10
Yeclano Yeclano
30 12 4 14 +0 40
11
La Unión Atlético La Unión Atlético
30 11 6 13 +0 39
12
Antoniano Antoniano
30 11 6 13 -3 39
13
Xerez Deportivo Xerez Deportivo
29 8 10 11 -4 34
14
Estepona Estepona A
29 9 6 14 -7 33
15
Puente Genil Puente Genil
29 8 9 12 -9 33
16
Melilla Melilla
29 7 11 11 +0 32
17
Almería II Almería II
29 4 7 18 -23 19
18
Málaga II Málaga II
30 4 5 21 -30 17

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record