First League First League March 14, 2026
Ludogorets

Ludogorets

30
FT
CSKA Sofia

CSKA Sofia

We predicted

0-0 43% confidence
View full match details Saturday, March 14 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 0-0
|
Actual 3–0

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 43%
Team Context
Ludogorets
Rank#2
Played25
Points50
PPG2.0
Goal Diff28
W W D L W
CSKA Sofia
4#Rank
25Played
46Points
1.84PPG
17Goal Diff
W W L W W
Most Likely Scores
0-0
21.4%
4.68
1-0
19.3%
5.19
0-1
13.7%
7.28
1-1
12.4%
8.08
Both Teams To Score
YES 28% · 3.55
NO 72% · 1.39
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Ludogorets 40% · 2.52
Draw 36% · 2.8
CSKA Sofia 25% · 4.05
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
20%
80%
Over 20% · 4.95 Under 80% · 1.25
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
46%
54%
Over 46% · 2.19 Under 54% · 1.84
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
93%
Over 7% · 14.06 Under 93% · 1.08

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Ludogorets Ludogorets
W W D L W
CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia
W W L W W

Key Stats Comparison

Ludogorets
Stat
CSKA Sofia
0.9
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.64
#2
League Pos.
#4
50 pts
Points
46 pts
2.0
Points / Game
1.84
+28
Goal Diff.
+17

Head to Head

Full H2H record
3 W
2 D
0 W
Ludogorets
Draw
CSKA Sofia
9 total goals
5 meetings

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Levski Sofia Levski Sofia
27 21 2 4 +41 65
2
Ludogorets Ludogorets H
27 16 8 3 +35 56
3
CSKA 1948 CSKA 1948
27 16 5 6 +17 53
4
CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia A
28 15 7 6 +19 52
5
Lokomotiv Plovdiv Lokomotiv Plovdiv
28 11 11 6 -3 44
6
Cherno More Varna Cherno More Varna
27 11 10 6 +13 43
7
Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali
28 11 8 9 +6 41
8
Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv
28 10 6 12 +0 36
9
Slavia Sofia Slavia Sofia
27 9 8 10 +2 35
10
Botev Vratsa Botev Vratsa
27 8 10 9 -2 34
11
Lokomotiv Sofia Lokomotiv Sofia
28 8 10 10 +1 34
12
Dobrudzha Dobrudzha
27 7 4 16 -16 25
13
Spartak Varna Spartak Varna
28 4 11 13 -26 23
14
Beroe Beroe
28 4 10 14 -24 22
15
Septemvri Sofia Septemvri Sofia
27 6 3 18 -34 21
16
Montana Montana
28 3 7 18 -29 16

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record