Primera División RFEF - Group 1
April 5, 2026
Lugo
16:15
VS
Osasuna II
Predicted score
1-0
42% confidence
View full match details
Sunday, April 5 2026
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
42%
Team Context
Lugo
Rank#5
Played30
Points45
PPG1.5
Goal Diff1
W
D
L
D
W
Osasuna II
19#Rank
30Played
27Points
0.9PPG
-15Goal Diff
W
L
L
W
D
Most Likely Scores
1-0
15.7%
6.38
1-1
12.5%
8.02
0-0
11.4%
8.8
2-0
10.8%
9.25
Both Teams To Score
YES
41% · 2.44
NO
59% · 1.7
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Lugo
48% · 2.07
Draw
35% · 2.89
Osasuna II
17% · 5.89
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
37%
63%
Over 37% · 2.7
Under 63% · 1.59
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
64%
36%
Over 64% · 1.56
Under 36% · 2.77
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
18%
82%
Over 18% · 5.7
Under 82% · 1.21
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Lugo
W
D
L
D
W
Osasuna II
W
L
L
W
D
Key Stats Comparison
Lugo
Stat
Osasuna II
1.38
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.8
#5
League Pos.
#19
45 pts
Points
27 pts
1.5
Points / Game
0.9
+1
Goal Diff.
-15
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Tenerife
|
31 | 19 | 8 | 4 | +33 | 65 |
| 2 |
Celta de Vigo II
|
31 | 15 | 9 | 7 | +5 | 54 |
| 3 |
Ponferradina
|
31 | 13 | 8 | 10 | +10 | 47 |
| 4 |
Barakaldo
|
31 | 12 | 11 | 8 | +8 | 47 |
| 5 |
Pontevedra
|
30 | 11 | 13 | 6 | +13 | 46 |
| 6 |
Zamora
|
30 | 12 | 10 | 8 | +6 | 46 |
| 7 |
Real Madrid II
|
31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | +5 | 46 |
| 8 |
Lugo
H
|
30 | 11 | 12 | 7 | +1 | 45 |
| 9 |
Athletic Club II
|
31 | 12 | 8 | 11 | -2 | 44 |
| 10 |
Mérida AD
|
31 | 12 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 44 |
| 11 |
Racing Ferrol
|
31 | 12 | 6 | 13 | -1 | 42 |
| 12 |
Unionistas de Salamanca
|
30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | +1 | 41 |
| 13 |
Arenas Getxo
|
29 | 11 | 5 | 13 | -6 | 38 |
| 14 |
CF Talavera
|
31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | -8 | 35 |
| 15 |
Guadalajara
|
31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | -11 | 35 |
| 16 |
Ourense CF
|
30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 34 |
| 17 |
Real Avilés
|
30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | -9 | 34 |
| 18 |
Cacereño
|
31 | 6 | 13 | 12 | -12 | 31 |
| 19 |
Osasuna II
A
|
30 | 6 | 9 | 15 | -15 | 27 |
| 20 |
Arenteiro
|
30 | 6 | 8 | 16 | -13 | 26 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.