Primera División RFEF - Group 1 Primera División RFEF - Group 1 February 1, 2026
Lugo

Lugo

02
FT
Ponferradina

Ponferradina

We predicted

0-0 63% confidence
View full match details Sunday, February 1 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 0-0
|
Actual 0–2

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

medium confidence
Prediction Reliability 63%
Team Context
Lugo
Rank#8
Played21
Points32
PPG1.52
Goal Diff3
W L W W W
Ponferradina
14#Rank
21Played
26Points
1.24PPG
1Goal Diff
W W W L L
Most Likely Scores
0-0
67.0%
1.49
0-1
13.4%
7.46
1-0
13.4%
7.46
1-1
2.7%
37.31
Both Teams To Score
YES 3% · 30.4
NO 97% · 1.03
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Lugo 15% · 6.61
Draw 70% · 1.43
Ponferradina 15% · 6.61
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
99%
Over 1% · 100.0 Under 99% · 1.01
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
94%
Over 6% · 16.23 Under 94% · 1.07
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
100%
Over 0% · 100.0 Under 100% · 1.0

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Lugo Lugo
W L W W W
Ponferradina Ponferradina
W W W L L

Key Stats Comparison

Lugo
Stat
Ponferradina
0.2
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.2
#8
League Pos.
#14
32 pts
Points
26 pts
1.52
Points / Game
1.24
+3
Goal Diff.
+1

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Tenerife Tenerife
31 19 8 4 +33 65
2
Celta de Vigo II Celta de Vigo II
31 15 9 7 +5 54
3
Ponferradina Ponferradina A
31 13 8 10 +10 47
4
Barakaldo Barakaldo
31 12 11 8 +8 47
5
Pontevedra Pontevedra
30 11 13 6 +13 46
6
Zamora Zamora
30 12 10 8 +6 46
7
Real Madrid II Real Madrid II
31 13 7 11 +5 46
8
Lugo Lugo H
30 11 12 7 +1 45
9
Athletic Club II Athletic Club II
31 12 8 11 -2 44
10
Mérida AD Mérida AD
31 12 8 11 -3 44
11
Racing Ferrol Racing Ferrol
31 12 6 13 -1 42
12
Unionistas de Salamanca Unionistas de Salamanca
30 11 8 11 +1 41
13
Arenas Getxo Arenas Getxo
29 11 5 13 -6 38
14
CF Talavera CF Talavera
31 9 8 14 -8 35
15
Guadalajara Guadalajara
31 9 8 14 -11 35
16
Ourense CF Ourense CF
30 8 10 12 -2 34
17
Real Avilés Real Avilés
30 9 7 14 -9 34
18
Cacereño Cacereño
31 6 13 12 -12 31
19
Osasuna II Osasuna II
30 6 9 15 -15 27
20
Arenteiro Arenteiro
30 6 8 16 -13 26

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record