Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 April 4, 2026
Málaga II

Málaga II

21
FT
Real Jaén

Real Jaén

We predicted

1-1 39% confidence
View full match details Saturday, April 4 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-1
|
Actual 2–1

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 39%
Team Context
Málaga II
Rank#18
Played29
Points14
PPG0.48
Goal Diff-31
L L L L L
Real Jaén
7#Rank
29Played
48Points
1.66PPG
8Goal Diff
W L W D W
Most Likely Scores
1-1
13.0%
7.72
0-1
10.9%
9.17
1-0
10.3%
9.69
0-0
8.7%
11.51
Both Teams To Score
YES 50% · 2.01
NO 50% · 1.99
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Málaga II 25% · 4.03
Draw 34% · 2.91
Real Jaén 41% · 2.45
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
44%
56%
Over 44% · 2.27 Under 56% · 1.79
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
70%
30%
Over 70% · 1.43 Under 30% · 3.34
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
23%
77%
Over 23% · 4.35 Under 77% · 1.3

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Málaga II Málaga II
L L L L L
Real Jaén Real Jaén
W L W D W

Key Stats Comparison

Málaga II
Stat
Real Jaén
1.19
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.26
#18
League Pos.
#7
14 pts
Points
48 pts
0.48
Points / Game
1.66
-31
Goal Diff.
+8

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Extremadura 1924 Extremadura 1924
30 14 11 5 +12 53
2
Ucam Murcia Ucam Murcia
29 15 7 7 +11 52
3
Xerez Xerez
29 15 6 8 +7 51
4
Recreativo Huelva Recreativo Huelva
30 14 9 7 +17 51
5
Deportiva Minera Deportiva Minera
29 15 5 9 +12 50
6
Águilas Águilas
29 14 7 8 +13 49
7
Real Jaén Real Jaén A
30 13 9 8 +7 48
8
Lorca Deportiva Lorca Deportiva
29 12 7 10 +0 43
9
Linares Deportivo Linares Deportivo
30 10 13 7 -3 43
10
Yeclano Yeclano
30 12 4 14 +0 40
11
La Unión Atlético La Unión Atlético
30 11 6 13 +0 39
12
Antoniano Antoniano
30 11 6 13 -3 39
13
Xerez Deportivo Xerez Deportivo
29 8 10 11 -4 34
14
Estepona Estepona
29 9 6 14 -7 33
15
Puente Genil Puente Genil
29 8 9 12 -9 33
16
Melilla Melilla
29 7 11 11 +0 32
17
Almería II Almería II
29 4 7 18 -23 19
18
Málaga II Málaga II H
30 4 5 21 -30 17

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record