Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
March 21, 2026
Mancha Real
1–0
FT
Mijas Las Lagunas
We predicted
1-0
39% confidence
View full match details
Saturday, March 21 2026
Correct prediction!
Predicted
1-0
|
Actual
1–0
Our model correctly predicted the final scoreline.
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
39%
Team Context
Mancha Real
Rank#16
Played25
Points24
PPG0.96
Goal Diff-10
L
L
L
L
W
Mijas Las Lagunas
2#Rank
26Played
51Points
1.96PPG
15Goal Diff
L
D
L
W
W
Most Likely Scores
1-0
14.1%
7.09
1-1
13.5%
7.41
0-0
13.2%
7.6
0-1
12.6%
7.94
Both Teams To Score
YES
40% · 2.47
NO
60% · 1.68
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Mancha Real
27% · 3.76
Draw
36% · 2.75
Mijas Las Lagunas
37% · 2.7
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
33%
67%
Over 33% · 3.02
Under 67% · 1.49
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
60%
40%
Over 60% · 1.66
Under 40% · 2.51
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
85%
Over 15% · 6.77
Under 85% · 1.17
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Mancha Real
L
L
L
L
W
Mijas Las Lagunas
L
D
L
W
W
Key Stats Comparison
Mancha Real
Stat
Mijas Las Lagunas
1.07
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.96
#16
League Pos.
#2
24 pts
Points
51 pts
0.96
Points / Game
1.96
-10
Goal Diff.
+15
Head to Head
Full H2H record2 W
0 D
2 W
Mancha Real
Draw
Mijas Las Lagunas
8
total goals
4
meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Motril
|
29 | 15 | 10 | 4 | +23 | 55 |
| 2 |
Mijas Las Lagunas
A
|
29 | 16 | 7 | 6 | +15 | 55 |
| 3 |
Arenas Armilla
|
29 | 14 | 8 | 7 | +11 | 50 |
| 4 |
Torre del Mar
|
29 | 13 | 11 | 5 | +12 | 50 |
| 5 |
Churriana Vega
|
29 | 12 | 8 | 9 | -7 | 44 |
| 6 |
Marbelli
|
29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | +5 | 41 |
| 7 |
Ciudad de Torredonjimeno
|
29 | 10 | 11 | 8 | -1 | 41 |
| 8 |
Atlético Porcuna
|
29 | 12 | 4 | 13 | +5 | 40 |
| 9 |
Huétor Vega
|
29 | 11 | 7 | 11 | +1 | 40 |
| 10 |
Granada II
|
29 | 9 | 11 | 9 | +2 | 38 |
| 11 |
UD San Pedro
|
29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | -2 | 38 |
| 12 |
UD Melilla II
|
29 | 8 | 11 | 10 | +0 | 35 |
| 13 |
Alhaurino
|
29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | -6 | 33 |
| 14 |
Martos
|
29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | -7 | 33 |
| 15 |
Mancha Real
H
|
29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | -7 | 32 |
| 16 |
Huétor Tájar
|
29 | 8 | 10 | 12 | -4 | 31 |
| 17 |
Torreperogil
|
29 | 7 | 6 | 16 | -17 | 27 |
| 18 |
El Palo
|
29 | 5 | 8 | 16 | -23 | 23 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.