Tercera División RFEF - Group 18
March 28, 2026
Manchego
4–1
FT
Cazalegas
We predicted
Manchego 4+
46% confidence
View full match details
Saturday, March 28 2026
Prediction vs. Reality
Predicted
Manchego 4+
|
Actual
4–1
Our model correctly predicted the outcome — Manchego 4+ goals was spot on.
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
46%
Team Context
Manchego
Rank#5
Played27
Points50
PPG1.85
Goal Diff20
D
W
D
W
L
Cazalegas
18#Rank
27Played
15Points
0.56PPG
-37Goal Diff
L
L
W
L
L
Most Likely Scores
Manchego 4+
18.4%
2-0
14.2%
7.05
1-0
12.6%
7.94
3-0
10.7%
9.38
Both Teams To Score
YES
42% · 2.37
NO
58% · 1.73
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Manchego
64% · 1.55
Draw
30% · 3.31
Cazalegas
5% · 18.42
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
55%
45%
Over 55% · 1.82
Under 45% · 2.21
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
78%
22%
Over 78% · 1.28
Under 22% · 4.6
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
32%
68%
Over 32% · 3.1
Under 68% · 1.48
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Manchego
D
W
D
W
L
Cazalegas
L
L
W
L
L
Key Stats Comparison
Manchego
Stat
Cazalegas
2.25
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.64
#5
League Pos.
#18
50 pts
Points
15 pts
1.85
Points / Game
0.56
+20
Goal Diff.
-37
Head to Head
Full H2H record2 W
2 D
0 W
Manchego
Draw
Cazalegas
11
total goals
4
meetings
Last 3 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Calvo Sotelo
|
29 | 18 | 8 | 3 | +26 | 62 |
| 2 |
Toledo
|
29 | 17 | 10 | 2 | +33 | 61 |
| 3 |
Albacete II
|
29 | 16 | 10 | 3 | +31 | 58 |
| 4 |
Tarancón
|
29 | 17 | 7 | 5 | +26 | 58 |
| 5 |
Manchego
H
|
29 | 16 | 5 | 8 | +22 | 53 |
| 6 |
Villarrubia
|
29 | 13 | 7 | 10 | +7 | 45 |
| 7 |
San Clemente
|
29 | 11 | 10 | 8 | -1 | 43 |
| 8 |
Villacañas
|
29 | 11 | 9 | 9 | +7 | 42 |
| 9 |
Guadalajara II
|
29 | 10 | 9 | 10 | +0 | 39 |
| 10 |
Villarrobledo
|
29 | 9 | 10 | 10 | -6 | 37 |
| 11 |
Huracán Balazote
|
29 | 11 | 4 | 14 | -8 | 37 |
| 12 |
Marchamalo
|
29 | 9 | 6 | 14 | -3 | 33 |
| 13 |
Illescas
|
29 | 7 | 10 | 12 | -11 | 31 |
| 14 |
La Solana
|
29 | 6 | 10 | 13 | -13 | 28 |
| 15 |
Pedroñeras
|
29 | 5 | 12 | 13 | -17 | 26 |
| 16 |
Azuqueca
|
29 | 4 | 12 | 13 | -13 | 24 |
| 17 |
Sonseca
|
29 | 3 | 7 | 19 | -39 | 16 |
| 18 |
Cazalegas
A
|
29 | 3 | 6 | 20 | -41 | 15 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.