Premier League Premier League February 21, 2026
Manchester City

Manchester City

21
FT
Newcastle

Newcastle

We predicted

1-1 27% confidence
View full match details Saturday, February 21 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-1
|
Actual 2–1

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

very_low confidence
Prediction Reliability 27%
Team Context
Manchester City
Rank#2
Played26
Points53
PPG2.04
Goal Diff30
W W D W L
Newcastle
10#Rank
26Played
36Points
1.38PPG
0Goal Diff
W L L L D
Most Likely Scores
1-1
13.1%
7.62
0-1
11.9%
8.38
1-0
10.5%
9.52
0-0
9.6%
10.47
Both Teams To Score
YES 48% · 2.1
NO 52% · 1.91
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Manchester City 32% · 3.09
Draw 28% · 3.58
Newcastle 40% · 2.52
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
42%
58%
Over 42% · 2.4 Under 58% · 1.71
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
68%
32%
Over 68% · 1.47 Under 32% · 3.13
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
21%
79%
Over 21% · 4.76 Under 79% · 1.27

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Manchester City Manchester City
W W D W L
Newcastle Newcastle
W L L L D

Key Stats Comparison

Manchester City
Stat
Newcastle
1.1
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.25
#2
League Pos.
#10
53 pts
Points
36 pts
2.04
Points / Game
1.38
+30
Goal Diff.
+0

Head to Head

Full H2H record
4 W
0 D
1 W
Manchester City
Draw
Newcastle
16 total goals
5 meetings

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Arsenal Arsenal
31 21 7 3 +39 70
2
Manchester City Manchester City H
30 18 7 5 +32 61
3
Manchester United Manchester United
31 15 10 6 +13 55
4
Aston Villa Aston Villa
31 16 6 9 +5 54
5
Liverpool Liverpool
31 14 7 10 +8 49
6
Chelsea Chelsea
31 13 9 9 +15 48
7
Brentford Brentford
31 13 7 11 +4 46
8
Everton Everton
31 13 7 11 +2 46
9
Fulham Fulham
31 13 5 13 -1 44
10
Brighton Brighton
31 11 10 10 +4 43
11
Sunderland Sunderland
31 11 10 10 -4 43
12
Newcastle Newcastle A
31 12 6 13 -1 42
13
Bournemouth Bournemouth
31 9 15 7 -2 42
14
Crystal Palace Crystal Palace
30 10 9 11 -2 39
15
Leeds Leeds
31 7 12 12 -11 33
16
Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest
31 8 8 15 -12 32
17
Tottenham Tottenham
31 7 9 15 -10 30
18
West Ham West Ham
31 7 8 16 -21 29
19
Burnley Burnley
31 4 8 19 -28 20
20
Wolves Wolves
31 3 8 20 -30 17

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record