League One
March 21, 2026
Mansfield Town
4–1
FT
Northampton
We predicted
Mansfield Town 4+
44% confidence
View full match details
Saturday, March 21 2026
Prediction vs. Reality
Predicted
Mansfield Town 4+
|
Actual
4–1
Our model correctly predicted the outcome — Mansfield Town 4+ goals was spot on.
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
44%
Team Context
Mansfield Town
Rank#15
Played36
Points46
PPG1.28
Goal Diff3
D
D
W
D
D
Northampton
23#Rank
38Played
35Points
0.92PPG
-20Goal Diff
L
L
L
D
L
Most Likely Scores
Mansfield Town 4+
19.8%
2-0
14.1%
7.1
1-0
12.1%
8.26
3-0
11.0%
9.13
Both Teams To Score
YES
43% · 2.35
NO
57% · 1.74
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Mansfield Town
63% · 1.58
Draw
28% · 3.6
Northampton
9% · 10.96
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
57%
43%
Over 57% · 1.77
Under 43% · 2.3
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
79%
21%
Over 79% · 1.26
Under 21% · 4.85
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
34%
66%
Over 34% · 2.95
Under 66% · 1.51
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Mansfield Town
D
D
W
D
D
Northampton
L
L
L
D
L
Key Stats Comparison
Mansfield Town
Stat
Northampton
2.33
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.64
#15
League Pos.
#23
46 pts
Points
35 pts
1.28
Points / Game
0.92
+3
Goal Diff.
-20
Head to Head
Full H2H record2 W
0 D
3 W
Mansfield Town
Draw
Northampton
12
total goals
5
meetings
Last 3 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Lincoln
|
40 | 26 | 9 | 5 | +41 | 87 |
| 2 |
Cardiff
|
39 | 23 | 8 | 8 | +32 | 77 |
| 3 |
Bolton
|
40 | 18 | 15 | 7 | +17 | 69 |
| 4 |
Bradford
|
40 | 20 | 8 | 12 | +6 | 68 |
| 5 |
Stockport County
|
39 | 19 | 9 | 11 | +9 | 66 |
| 6 |
Reading
|
41 | 16 | 14 | 11 | +9 | 62 |
| 7 |
Stevenage
|
39 | 17 | 10 | 12 | +3 | 61 |
| 8 |
Wycombe
|
41 | 16 | 11 | 14 | +13 | 59 |
| 9 |
Plymouth
|
40 | 18 | 5 | 17 | +5 | 59 |
| 10 |
Huddersfield
|
40 | 16 | 10 | 14 | +8 | 58 |
| 11 |
Luton
|
40 | 16 | 10 | 14 | +4 | 58 |
| 12 |
Mansfield Town
H
|
38 | 13 | 13 | 12 | +8 | 52 |
| 13 |
Barnsley
|
38 | 13 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 51 |
| 14 |
Peterborough
|
39 | 15 | 5 | 19 | +4 | 50 |
| 15 |
Leyton Orient
|
40 | 14 | 8 | 18 | -7 | 50 |
| 16 |
AFC Wimbledon
|
40 | 14 | 8 | 18 | -10 | 50 |
| 17 |
Doncaster
|
40 | 14 | 8 | 18 | -19 | 50 |
| 18 |
Blackpool
|
41 | 13 | 9 | 19 | -15 | 48 |
| 19 |
Burton Albion
|
41 | 12 | 11 | 18 | -11 | 47 |
| 20 |
Wigan
|
40 | 11 | 13 | 16 | -13 | 46 |
| 21 |
Exeter City
|
41 | 11 | 10 | 20 | -11 | 43 |
| 22 |
Rotherham
|
39 | 9 | 10 | 20 | -23 | 37 |
| 23 |
Northampton
A
|
40 | 9 | 8 | 23 | -24 | 35 |
| 24 |
Port Vale
|
38 | 7 | 10 | 21 | -25 | 31 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.