Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
March 15, 2026
Marbelli
1–0
FT
Mancha Real
We predicted
1-0
41% confidence
View full match details
Sunday, March 15 2026
Correct prediction!
Predicted
1-0
|
Actual
1–0
Our model correctly predicted the final scoreline.
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
41%
Team Context
Marbelli
Rank#7
Played24
Points36
PPG1.5
Goal Diff6
L
L
W
W
D
Mancha Real
16#Rank
24Played
24Points
1.0PPG
-9Goal Diff
L
L
L
W
W
Most Likely Scores
1-0
15.7%
6.39
2-0
12.5%
8.01
1-1
11.4%
8.78
0-0
9.8%
10.19
Both Teams To Score
YES
41% · 2.43
NO
59% · 1.7
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Marbelli
53% · 1.89
Draw
33% · 3.03
Mancha Real
14% · 7.06
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
41%
59%
Over 41% · 2.44
Under 59% · 1.69
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
67%
33%
Over 67% · 1.48
Under 33% · 3.07
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
20%
80%
Over 20% · 4.89
Under 80% · 1.26
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Marbelli
L
L
W
W
D
Mancha Real
L
L
L
W
W
Key Stats Comparison
Marbelli
Stat
Mancha Real
1.6
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.73
#7
League Pos.
#16
36 pts
Points
24 pts
1.5
Points / Game
1.0
+6
Goal Diff.
-9
Head to Head
Full H2H record3 W
0 D
1 W
Marbelli
Draw
Mancha Real
8
total goals
4
meetings
Last 3 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Motril
|
28 | 15 | 9 | 4 | +23 | 54 |
| 2 |
Mijas Las Lagunas
|
28 | 16 | 6 | 6 | +15 | 54 |
| 3 |
Arenas Armilla
|
28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | +11 | 49 |
| 4 |
Torre del Mar
|
28 | 12 | 11 | 5 | +11 | 47 |
| 5 |
Churriana Vega
|
28 | 12 | 8 | 9 | -4 | 44 |
| 6 |
Marbelli
H
|
28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | +6 | 41 |
| 7 |
Ciudad de Torredonjimeno
|
29 | 10 | 11 | 8 | -1 | 41 |
| 8 |
Atlético Porcuna
|
29 | 12 | 4 | 13 | +5 | 40 |
| 9 |
Granada II
|
29 | 9 | 11 | 9 | +2 | 38 |
| 10 |
Huétor Vega
|
28 | 10 | 7 | 11 | -2 | 37 |
| 11 |
UD San Pedro
|
28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | -4 | 35 |
| 12 |
UD Melilla II
|
28 | 8 | 10 | 10 | +0 | 34 |
| 13 |
Alhaurino
|
28 | 8 | 9 | 11 | -5 | 33 |
| 14 |
Mancha Real
A
|
28 | 8 | 7 | 13 | -7 | 31 |
| 15 |
Huétor Tájar
|
28 | 8 | 9 | 12 | -4 | 30 |
| 16 |
Martos
|
28 | 7 | 9 | 12 | -8 | 30 |
| 17 |
Torreperogil
|
29 | 7 | 6 | 16 | -17 | 27 |
| 18 |
El Palo
|
28 | 5 | 8 | 15 | -21 | 23 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.