Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 April 2, 2026
Marchamalo

Marchamalo

13
FT
Calvo Sotelo

Calvo Sotelo

We predicted

1-1 39% confidence
View full match details Thursday, April 2 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-1
|
Actual 1–3

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 39%
Team Context
Marchamalo
Rank#12
Played28
Points33
PPG1.18
Goal Diff-1
L W L D L
Calvo Sotelo
1#Rank
28Played
59Points
2.11PPG
24Goal Diff
D W W D W
Most Likely Scores
1-1
13.4%
7.45
1-0
12.4%
8.06
0-1
12.1%
8.25
0-0
11.2%
8.94
Both Teams To Score
YES 44% · 2.26
NO 56% · 1.79
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Marchamalo 22% · 4.63
Draw 38% · 2.66
Calvo Sotelo 41% · 2.45
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
37%
63%
Over 37% · 2.67 Under 63% · 1.6
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
64%
36%
Over 64% · 1.56 Under 36% · 2.8
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
18%
82%
Over 18% · 5.6 Under 82% · 1.22

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Marchamalo Marchamalo
L W L D L
Calvo Sotelo Calvo Sotelo
D W W D W

Key Stats Comparison

Marchamalo
Stat
Calvo Sotelo
1.11
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.08
#12
League Pos.
#1
33 pts
Points
59 pts
1.18
Points / Game
2.11
-1
Goal Diff.
+24

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Calvo Sotelo Calvo Sotelo A
29 18 8 3 +26 62
2
Toledo Toledo
29 17 10 2 +33 61
3
Albacete II Albacete II
29 16 10 3 +31 58
4
Tarancón Tarancón
29 17 7 5 +26 58
5
Manchego Manchego
29 16 5 8 +22 53
6
Villarrubia Villarrubia
29 13 7 10 +7 45
7
San Clemente San Clemente
29 11 10 8 -1 43
8
Villacañas Villacañas
29 11 9 9 +7 42
9
Guadalajara II Guadalajara II
29 10 9 10 +0 39
10
Villarrobledo Villarrobledo
29 9 10 10 -6 37
11
Huracán Balazote Huracán Balazote
29 11 4 14 -8 37
12
Marchamalo Marchamalo H
29 9 6 14 -3 33
13
Illescas Illescas
29 7 10 12 -11 31
14
La Solana La Solana
29 6 10 13 -13 28
15
Pedroñeras Pedroñeras
29 5 12 13 -17 26
16
Azuqueca Azuqueca
29 4 12 13 -13 24
17
Sonseca Sonseca
29 3 7 19 -39 16
18
Cazalegas Cazalegas
29 3 6 20 -41 15

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record