Tercera División RFEF - Group 18
March 21, 2026
Marchamalo
1–0
FT
Villacañas
We predicted
1-0
37% confidence
View full match details
Saturday, March 21 2026
Correct prediction!
Predicted
1-0
|
Actual
1–0
Our model correctly predicted the final scoreline.
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
37%
Team Context
Marchamalo
Rank#12
Played26
Points30
PPG1.15
Goal Diff-1
L
D
L
W
W
Villacañas
7#Rank
26Played
41Points
1.58PPG
10Goal Diff
L
L
D
D
W
Most Likely Scores
1-0
14.4%
6.93
1-1
13.5%
7.43
0-0
13.2%
7.56
0-1
12.3%
8.12
Both Teams To Score
YES
40% · 2.48
NO
60% · 1.67
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Marchamalo
27% · 3.66
Draw
36% · 2.75
Villacañas
36% · 2.75
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
33%
67%
Over 33% · 3.03
Under 67% · 1.49
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
60%
40%
Over 60% · 1.67
Under 40% · 2.5
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
85%
Over 15% · 6.8
Under 85% · 1.17
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Marchamalo
L
D
L
W
W
Villacañas
L
L
D
D
W
Key Stats Comparison
Marchamalo
Stat
Villacañas
1.09
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.93
#12
League Pos.
#7
30 pts
Points
41 pts
1.15
Points / Game
1.58
-1
Goal Diff.
+10
Head to Head
Full H2H record2 W
1 D
2 W
Marchamalo
Draw
Villacañas
6
total goals
5
meetings
Last 3 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Calvo Sotelo
|
29 | 18 | 8 | 3 | +26 | 62 |
| 2 |
Toledo
|
29 | 17 | 10 | 2 | +33 | 61 |
| 3 |
Albacete II
|
29 | 16 | 10 | 3 | +31 | 58 |
| 4 |
Tarancón
|
29 | 17 | 7 | 5 | +26 | 58 |
| 5 |
Manchego
|
29 | 16 | 5 | 8 | +22 | 53 |
| 6 |
Villarrubia
|
29 | 13 | 7 | 10 | +7 | 45 |
| 7 |
San Clemente
|
29 | 11 | 10 | 8 | -1 | 43 |
| 8 |
Villacañas
A
|
29 | 11 | 9 | 9 | +7 | 42 |
| 9 |
Guadalajara II
|
29 | 10 | 9 | 10 | +0 | 39 |
| 10 |
Villarrobledo
|
29 | 9 | 10 | 10 | -6 | 37 |
| 11 |
Huracán Balazote
|
29 | 11 | 4 | 14 | -8 | 37 |
| 12 |
Marchamalo
H
|
29 | 9 | 6 | 14 | -3 | 33 |
| 13 |
Illescas
|
29 | 7 | 10 | 12 | -11 | 31 |
| 14 |
La Solana
|
29 | 6 | 10 | 13 | -13 | 28 |
| 15 |
Pedroñeras
|
29 | 5 | 12 | 13 | -17 | 26 |
| 16 |
Azuqueca
|
29 | 4 | 12 | 13 | -13 | 24 |
| 17 |
Sonseca
|
29 | 3 | 7 | 19 | -39 | 16 |
| 18 |
Cazalegas
|
29 | 3 | 6 | 20 | -41 | 15 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.