Paulista - A3 Paulista - A3 March 21, 2026
Marília

Marília

20
FT
Francana

Francana

We predicted

1-0 39% confidence
View full match details Saturday, March 21 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-0
|
Actual 2–0

We predicted the correct result direction (home win), though the exact score differed.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 39%
Team Context
Marília
Rank#2
Played15
Points28
PPG1.87
Goal Diff7
D W D D W
Francana
12#Rank
15Played
17Points
1.13PPG
-2Goal Diff
D L D L W
Most Likely Scores
1-0
11.9%
8.43
1-1
11.3%
8.89
2-0
10.3%
9.7
2-1
9.8%
10.22
Both Teams To Score
YES 50% · 1.98
NO 50% · 2.02
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Marília 52% · 1.94
Draw 32% · 3.11
Francana 16% · 6.14
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
50%
50%
Over 50% · 1.99 Under 50% · 2.01
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
75%
25%
Over 75% · 1.34 Under 25% · 3.98
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
28%
72%
Over 28% · 3.55 Under 72% · 1.39

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Marília Marília
D W D D W
Francana Francana
D L D L W

Key Stats Comparison

Marília
Stat
Francana
1.74
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.95
#2
League Pos.
#12
28 pts
Points
17 pts
1.87
Points / Game
1.13
+7
Goal Diff.
-2

Head to Head

Full H2H record
2 W
0 D
0 W
Marília
Draw
Francana
3 total goals
2 meetings

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record